GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Retail - Defensive » Roundys Inc (NYSE:RNDY) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Roundys (Roundys) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Roundys Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Roundys's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Roundys's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Roundys is N/A%.

The industry rank for Roundys's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

RNDY's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Retail - Defensive industry.
Industry Median: 0.93
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Roundys Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Roundys's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Roundys Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Roundys Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -

Roundys Quarterly Data
Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Roundys's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Roundys's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Roundys's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Roundys's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Roundys's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Roundys Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Roundys's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Roundys's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-3.60)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Roundys  (NYSE:RNDY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Roundys Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Roundys's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Roundys (Roundys) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Roundys, Inc. is a Midwest supermarket founded in 1872 as a privately owned food wholesaling company. The Company is a food retailer in the state of Wisconsin. It owns and operates 163 retail grocery stores, of which 121 are located in Wisconsin, 29 are located in Minnesota and 13 are located in Illinois. It also distributes a full line of food and non-food products from three wholesale distribution centers and provides services to one independent licensee retail grocery store in Wisconsin. The Company completed the initial public offering on February 13, 2012. Its stores feature expansive meat, produce, deli and other perishable products and specialty and prepared foods departments. It also offers a line of health and beauty care products and a selection of seasonal merchandise to maximize the conveniences offered to its customers. The Company operates retail grocery stores under its Pick 'n Save, Rainbow, Copps, Metro Market and Mariano's retail banners. Many of its product categories include natural and organic options, catering to its customers' focus on healthier eating choices. It provides its customers with a compelling one-stop shopping experience featuring a level of customer service in its attractive and convenient stores. The Company's products can be classified as non-perishable, perishable and non-food. Non-perishable food categories consist of grocery, frozen, and dairy products. Perishable categories include produce, meat, seafood, deli, bakery and floral. Non-food includes general merchandise, health and beauty care, pharmacy, and alcohol. It distributes personalized offers to customers via email/ digital communication, in-store coupons and direct mail communications based on specific behaviors, measured through its loyalty card activity. The Company competes with conventional, national and regional supercenters such as; New Albertson's, Inc., Costco, Target and Wal-Mart, Woodman's and Meijer's, Festival Foods and Piggly Wiggly, Aldi, Trader Joe's and Whole Foods, and local supermarkets, natural foods stores, smaller specialty stores and farmers' markets. The Company is subject to federal, state and local laws and regulations relating to zoning, land use, environmental protection, work place safety, public health, community right-to-know, alcoholic beverage sales, tobacco sales and pharmaceutical sales.
Executives
Patrick J. Condon director 505 SOUTH GILLETTE AVE., GILLETTE WY 82716
Gregory P Josefowicz director 850 76TH STREET SW, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49518
Robert A Mariano director, officer: President, CEO and Chairman 875 E WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 100, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Darren W Karst officer: EVP, CFO & Assistant Secretary P.O. BOX 473 (MS-2030), MILWAUKEE WI 53201-0473

Roundys (Roundys) Headlines