Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (XSWX:MC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): CHF742.84 (As of Aug. 03, 2026) — 78926% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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XSWX:MC Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE XSWX:MC
83 GF Score
Price CHF431.95
GF Value CHF562.70
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE XSWX:MC 83 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is CHF742.84 as of Aug. 03, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.94. GuruFocus rates XSWX:MC with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF562.70 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 131 Retail - Cyclical companies, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE ranks better than 53.44% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-03), Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is CHF742.84.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE is 41.85%.

The industry rank for Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:MC's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked better than
53.44% of 131 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs XSWX:MC: 0.58

Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE  (XSWX:MC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,953.84 1,418.84 1,038.39 1,335.44 1,232.16

Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 1,335.44 0.00 1,232.16 0.00

XSWX:MC vs TPR, SIG: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


XSWX:MC
83GF Score
Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE XSWX:MC
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.68%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 16.90%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 16.90%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 16.90%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = CHF26.662.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.169)/(1+0.1) = 1.0627272727273
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=26.662*27.8613
=742.84

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(742.84-431.95)/742.84
=41.85 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of CHF742.84 mean?
Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (XSWX:MC) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of CHF742.84 as of Aug. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE and its competitors. This is 78926% above median its historical median of 0.94. Over the past decade, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 0.51 to 1.18. According to the industry distribution chart, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE ranks #61 out of 131 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 46.6%.
Is Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of CHF742.84 is 78926% above median its 10-year median of 0.94. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.51 to a high of 1.18. Based on the distribution chart, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE ranks #61 out of 131 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to TPR and SIG?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE ranks #61 out of 131 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This puts Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.66. Historically, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 0.51 to 1.18 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.66, based on 131 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.66 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is CHF742.84, which is 78926% above median its own 10-year median of 0.94. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (XSWX:MC) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF562.70, compared to a current price of CHF431.95 — trading 23.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is CHF742.84, which is 78926% above median its 10-year median of 0.94. Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (XSWX:MC), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is CHF742.84 as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (XSWX:MC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CHF431.95 is trading 23.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of CHF562.70. GuruFocus considers Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:MC:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): CHF742.84 (78926% above median its 10-year median of 0.94)
  • GF Value™: CHF562.70 vs. price of CHF431.95 (23.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:MC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Business Description

Address 22, Avenue Montaigne, Paris, FRA, 75008
LVMH is a global producer and distributor of luxury goods. It operates six segments: fashion and leather goods, its largest and most profitable; watches and jewelry; wines and spirits; perfumes and cosmetics; selective retailing (including Sephora and airport duty-free retailer DFS); and other. Higher-profile brands include Louis Vuitton, Bulgari, Fendi, Givenchy, Tag Heuer, Hennessy, Moet & Chandon, Glenmorangie, Sephora, and Benefit. LVMH operates over 5,000 stores around the globe.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:MC

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF431.95
Price
CHF562.70
GF Value