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Arafura Rare EarthsARAFF 34 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05 as of Sep. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates ARAFF with a GF Score™ of 34/100. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 657 Metals & Mining companies, Arafura Rare Earths ranks worse than 57.53% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-09-22), Arafura Rare Earths's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05. The stock price of Arafura Rare Earths is $0.1336. Therefore, Arafura Rare Earths's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.7.
The historical rank and industry rank for Arafura Rare Earths's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ARAFF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.4 Med: 3.5 Max: 3.5
Current: 2.67
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Arafura Rare Earths was 3.50. The lowest was 2.40. And the median was 3.50.
ARAFF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 57.53% of 657
companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 2.34
vs ARAFF: 2.67
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Arafura Rare Earths's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
0.1336
/
0.055953094428948
=
2.39
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Arafura Rare Earths Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Arafura Rare Earths Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Arafura Rare Earths's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Arafura Rare Earths's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Arafura Rare Earths Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Arafura Rare Earths's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Arafura Rare Earths's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.05 mean?
Arafura Rare Earths (ARAFF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.05 as of Sep. 22, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Arafura Rare Earths and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Arafura Rare Earths ranks #378 out of 657 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 57.5%.
Is Arafura Rare Earths' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Arafura Rare Earths' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05. The Metals & Mining industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.34. Arafura Rare Earths' value of $0.05 is 97.9% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Arafura Rare Earths ranks #378 out of 657 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Arafura Rare Earths has a GF Score™ of 34/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arafura Rare Earths' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Arafura Rare Earths ranks #378 out of 657 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Arafura Rare Earths in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.34. Arafura Rare Earths' value of $0.05 is 97.9% below this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.34, based on 657 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Arafura Rare Earths's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.05 is 97.9% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Arafura Rare Earths and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Arafura Rare Earths's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arafura Rare Earths stock overvalued right now?
Arafura Rare Earths (ARAFF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.05. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05 and 97.9% below the Metals & Mining industry median of 2.34. Arafura Rare Earths' overall GF Score™ is 34/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arafura Rare Earths (ARAFF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05 as of Sep. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Arafura Rare Earths Ltd is engaged in mineral exploration, definition, and development of Neodymium-Praseodymium oxide and Mixed middle-heavy rare earth oxide products, mining and associated infrastructure, social and environmental feasibility evaluations, and Nolans Project engineering studies. Its products are used in catalytic converters in automobiles, consumer electronics, energy-efficiency lighting, optics, super alloys, advanced ceramics, and high-strength magnets.
34GF Score
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Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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