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Alliance Resource Partners LPARLP +2.17%84 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.08 as of Aug. 17, 2026, which is 9066% above its 10-year median of 0.47. GuruFocus rates ARLP with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of $22.82 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 111 Other Energy Sources companies, Alliance Resource Partners LP ranks better than 61.26% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Alliance Resource Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ARLP'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.07 Med: 0.47 Max: 0.66
Current: 0.59
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alliance Resource Partners LP was 0.66. The lowest was 0.07. And the median was 0.47.
ARLP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 61.26% of 111
companies
in the Other Energy Sources industry
Industry Median: 0.78
vs ARLP: 0.59
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Alliance Resource Partners LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
25.37
/
43.076019436093
=
0.59
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alliance Resource Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Alliance Resource Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ARLP vs BTU, CNR, NRP: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Alliance Resource Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Alliance Resource Partners LP Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Other Energy Sources Industry
For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Alliance Resource Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Alliance Resource Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $43.08 mean?
Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $43.08 as of Aug. 17, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alliance Resource Partners LP and its competitors. This is 9066% above median its historical median of 0.47. Over the past decade, Alliance Resource Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.07 to 0.66. According to the industry distribution chart, Alliance Resource Partners LP ranks #43 out of 111 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, placing it in the top 38.7%.
Is Alliance Resource Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Alliance Resource Partners LP's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $43.08 is 9066% above median its 10-year median of 0.47. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.07 to a high of 0.66. The Other Energy Sources industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.78. Alliance Resource Partners LP's value of $43.08 is 5423.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Alliance Resource Partners LP ranks #43 out of 111 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Alliance Resource Partners LP has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alliance Resource Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to BTU and CNR?
According to the Other Energy Sources industry distribution chart, Alliance Resource Partners LP ranks #43 out of 111 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Alliance Resource Partners LP in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.78. Alliance Resource Partners LP's value of $43.08 is 5423.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Alliance Resource Partners LP's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.07 to 0.66 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.47 vs. the industry median of 0.78, Alliance Resource Partners LP has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Other Energy Sources company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Other Energy Sources companies is 0.78, based on 111 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Alliance Resource Partners LP's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $43.08 is 5423.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alliance Resource Partners LP and its competitors. For the Other Energy Sources industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.78 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alliance Resource Partners LP's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.08, which is 9066% above median its own 10-year median of 0.47. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alliance Resource Partners LP stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $22.82, compared to a current price of $25.37 — trading 11.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.08, which is 9066% above median its 10-year median of 0.47 and 5423.1% above the Other Energy Sources industry median of 0.78. Alliance Resource Partners LP's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.08 as of Aug. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alliance Resource Partners LP stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $25.37 is trading 11.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $22.82.
GuruFocus considers Alliance Resource Partners LP to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ARLP:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $43.08 (9066% above median its 10-year median of 0.47)
GF Value™: $22.82 vs. price of $25.37 (11.2% above fair value)
Industry Position: 5423.1% above the Other Energy Sources median (#43 of 111)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ARLP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Alliance Resource Partners LP operates as a coal mining company based in the United States. It has four segments: Illinois Basin, Appalachia, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties. The Illinois Basin comprises underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, and West Virginia. The Appalachia segment comprises the Mettiki mining complex, the Tunnel Ridge mining complex, and the MC Mining complex. The Oil & Gas Royalties has oil & gas mineral interests held by AR Midland and AllDale I & II, and includes Alliance Minerals' equity interests in both AllDale III and Cavalier Minerals. The Coal Royalties have included coal mineral reserves and resources owned or leased by Alliance Resource Properties.
84GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ARLP
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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