Almonty Industries (ASX:AII) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.68 (As of Sep. 02, 2026)

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ASX:AII Almonty Industries Inc ASX:AII
56 GF Score
Price A$25.89
GF Value A$5.39
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Almonty Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Almonty Industries ASX:AII 56 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.68 as of Sep. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:AII with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of A$5.39 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 657 Metals & Mining companies, Almonty Industries ranks worse than 96.96% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-02), Almonty Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.68. The stock price of Almonty Industries is A$25.89. Therefore, Almonty Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 38.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Almonty Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:AII' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 37.83   Med: 57.22   Max: 57.22
Current: 38.07

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Almonty Industries was 57.22. The lowest was 37.83. And the median was 57.22.

ASX:AII's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
96.96% of 657 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 2.34 vs ASX:AII: 38.07

Almonty Industries  (ASX:AII) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Almonty Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=25.89/0.30597582125512
=84.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Almonty Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Almonty Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Almonty Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Almonty Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Almonty Industries Annual Data
Trend Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.47 -0.67 -0.70 -1.01 -0.21

Almonty Industries Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.37 -0.67 -0.21 -0.19 0.40

ASX:AII vs MTRN, USAR, SSMR: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Almonty Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Almonty Industries Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Almonty Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Almonty Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ASX:AII
56GF Score
Almonty Industries Inc ASX:AII
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Almonty Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Almonty Industries's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$-37.53.

Almonty Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-37.52928+559.507*0.8)/295.166
=0.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.68 mean?
Almonty Industries (ASX:AII) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.68 as of Sep. 02, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Almonty Industries and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Almonty Industries ranks #637 out of 657 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 97%.
Is Almonty Industries' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Almonty Industries' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.68. Based on the distribution chart, Almonty Industries ranks #637 out of 657 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Almonty Industries has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Almonty Industries' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MTRN and USAR?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Almonty Industries ranks #637 out of 657 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Almonty Industries in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.34. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.34, based on 657 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Almonty Industries and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Almonty Industries's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Almonty Industries stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Almonty Industries (ASX:AII) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$5.39, compared to a current price of A$25.89 — trading 380.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.68. Almonty Industries' overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Almonty Industries (ASX:AII), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.68 as of Sep. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Almonty Industries (ASX:AII) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Almonty Industries stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$25.89 is trading 380.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$5.39. GuruFocus considers Almonty Industries to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:AII:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.68
  • GF Value™: A$5.39 vs. price of A$25.89 (380.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:AII stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Almonty Industries Business Description

Address 100 King Street West, Suite 5700, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5X 1C7
Almonty Industries Inc is engaged in the development of the Sangdong Mine in South Korea, and the Company is currently mining, processing, and shipping tungsten concentrate from the Panasqueira tin and tungsten mine in Covilha, Castelo Branco, Portugal (Panasqueira Mine). Additionally, the Company is evaluating its molybdenum project with inferred mineral resources on a separate property adjacent to the tungsten orebody at the Sangdong Mine, its Valtreixal tin and tungsten mine project located in Western Spain in the province of Zamora (Valtreixal Mine), and the newly-acquired Gentung Browns Lake tungsten project located in Montana, USA (Gentung-Browns Lake Project). The company has two geographical locations: the Iberian Peninsula (Spain and Portugal) and the Republic of Korea.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:AII

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$25.89
Price
A$5.39
GF Value