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Alkane ResourcesASX:ALK +5.04%80 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.92 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:ALK with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of A$1.51 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 652 Metals & Mining companies, Alkane Resources ranks better than 55.52% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-26), Alkane Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.92. The stock price of Alkane Resources is A$1.98. Therefore, Alkane Resources's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.
The historical rank and industry rank for Alkane Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:ALK'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.49 Med: 4.27 Max: 10
Current: 2.15
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alkane Resources was 10.00. The lowest was 1.49. And the median was 4.27.
ASX:ALK's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 55.52% of 652
companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 2.4
vs ASX:ALK: 2.15
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Alkane Resources's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
1.98
/
0.92125155882339
=
2.15
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alkane Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Alkane Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Alkane Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ASX:ALK vs NEM, AU: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Gold subindustry, Alkane Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Alkane Resources Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alkane Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Alkane Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.92 mean?
Alkane Resources (ASX:ALK) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.92 as of Aug. 26, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alkane Resources and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Alkane Resources ranks #290 out of 652 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 44.5%.
Is Alkane Resources' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Alkane Resources' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.92. Based on the distribution chart, Alkane Resources ranks #290 out of 652 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Alkane Resources has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alkane Resources' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Alkane Resources ranks #290 out of 652 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Alkane Resources in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.40. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.40, based on 652 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alkane Resources and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.40 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alkane Resources's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.92. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alkane Resources stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alkane Resources (ASX:ALK) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$1.51, compared to a current price of A$1.98 — trading 31.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.92. Alkane Resources' overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alkane Resources (ASX:ALK), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.92 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Alkane Resources (ASX:ALK) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alkane Resources stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of A$1.98 is trading 31.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$1.51.
GuruFocus considers Alkane Resources to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:ALK:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.92
GF Value™: A$1.51 vs. price of A$1.98 (31.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:ALK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Alkane Resources Ltd is an Australia-based gold and antimony producer. The company has three wholly owned producing mines across Australia and Sweden. Its portfolio includes the Tomingley Gold Project located in Central West NSW, Costerfield in Victoria and Bjorkdal in Northern Sweden. Alkane also owns the gold-copper porphyry Boda-Kaiser Project in NSW.
80GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ASX:ALK
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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