Australis Oil & Gas (ASX:ATS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.06 (As of Aug. 12, 2026) — 77% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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What is Australis Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Australis Oil & Gas ASX:ATS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.06 as of Aug. 12, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.26. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 623 Oil & Gas companies, Australis Oil & Gas ranks better than 82.99% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-12), Australis Oil & Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.06. The stock price of Australis Oil & Gas is A$0.023. Therefore, Australis Oil & Gas's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Australis Oil & Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:ATS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.13   Med: 0.26   Max: 0.9
Current: 0.38

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Australis Oil & Gas was 0.90. The lowest was 0.13. And the median was 0.26.

ASX:ATS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
82.99% of 623 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.86 vs ASX:ATS: 0.38

Australis Oil & Gas  (ASX:ATS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Australis Oil & Gas's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.023/0.057717015443174
=0.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Australis Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Australis Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Australis Oil & Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Australis Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Australis Oil & Gas Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.06

Australis Oil & Gas Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.06 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.06

ASX:ATS vs COP, EOG, FANG: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Australis Oil & Gas's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Australis Oil & Gas Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Australis Oil & Gas's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Australis Oil & Gas's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Australis Oil & Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Australis Oil & Gas's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$5.21.

Australis Oil & Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*5.2118571428571+32.789*0.8)/1314.169
=0.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.06 mean?
Australis Oil & Gas (ASX:ATS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.06 as of Aug. 12, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Australis Oil & Gas and its competitors. This is 77% below median its historical median of 0.26. Over the past decade, Australis Oil & Gas' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.13 to 0.90. According to the industry distribution chart, Australis Oil & Gas ranks #106 out of 623 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 17%.
Is Australis Oil & Gas' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Australis Oil & Gas' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.06 is 77% below median its 10-year median of 0.26. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.13 to a high of 0.90. Based on the distribution chart, Australis Oil & Gas ranks #106 out of 623 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers.
How does Australis Oil & Gas' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to COP and EOG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Australis Oil & Gas ranks #106 out of 623 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Australis Oil & Gas in the top 17% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. Historically, Australis Oil & Gas' own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.13 to 0.90 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Oil & Gas companies is 0.86, based on 623 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Australis Oil & Gas and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Australis Oil & Gas's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.06, which is 77% below median its own 10-year median of 0.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Australis Oil & Gas stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Australis Oil & Gas (ASX:ATS) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.01, compared to a current price of A$0.02 — trading 130% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.06, which is 77% below median its 10-year median of 0.26. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Australis Oil & Gas (ASX:ATS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.06 as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Australis Oil & Gas Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges ASTTF:USA
Address 215 Hay Street, Level 2, Subiaco, WA, AUS, 6008
Australis Oil & Gas Ltd engages in oil and gas exploration, development, and production activities. The company operates through Oil & Gas Production, Exploration, and Other segments. The Oil & Gas Production segment earns the majority of revenue. Geographically it operates in United states of America and Australia.