Pengana Capital Group (ASX:PCG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.45 (As of Aug. 27, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:PCG Pengana Capital Group Ltd ASX:PCG
38 GF Score
Price A$0.73
GF Value A$0.34
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Pengana Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Pengana Capital Group ASX:PCG 38 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.45 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:PCG with a GF Score™ of 38/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.34 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,208 Asset Management companies, Pengana Capital Group ranks worse than 83.11% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-27), Pengana Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.45. The stock price of Pengana Capital Group is A$0.725. Therefore, Pengana Capital Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pengana Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:PCG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.61   Med: 1.8   Max: 1.8
Current: 1.61

During the past 1 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Pengana Capital Group was 1.80. The lowest was 1.61. And the median was 1.80.

ASX:PCG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
83.11% of 1208 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 0.91 vs ASX:PCG: 1.61

Pengana Capital Group  (ASX:PCG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Pengana Capital Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.725/
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Pengana Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Pengana Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Pengana Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Pengana Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Pengana Capital Group Annual Data
Trend Jun25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
0.45

Pengana Capital Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF 0.00 0.45 0.00

ASX:PCG vs BLK, BX, KKR: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Pengana Capital Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pengana Capital Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Pengana Capital Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pengana Capital Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ASX:PCG
38GF Score
Pengana Capital Group Ltd ASX:PCG
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Pengana Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.45 mean?
Pengana Capital Group (ASX:PCG) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.45 as of Aug. 27, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Pengana Capital Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Pengana Capital Group ranks #1004 out of 1208 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 83.1%.
Is Pengana Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Pengana Capital Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.45. Based on the distribution chart, Pengana Capital Group ranks #1004 out of 1208 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Pengana Capital Group has a GF Score™ of 38/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Pengana Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to BLK and BX?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Pengana Capital Group ranks #1004 out of 1208 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Pengana Capital Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.91. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Asset Management company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Asset Management companies is 0.91, based on 1,208 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Pengana Capital Group and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.91 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Pengana Capital Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Pengana Capital Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pengana Capital Group (ASX:PCG) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.34, compared to a current price of A$0.73 — trading 113.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.45. Pengana Capital Group's overall GF Score™ is 38/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Pengana Capital Group (ASX:PCG), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.45 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Pengana Capital Group (ASX:PCG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pengana Capital Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$0.73 is trading 113.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.34. GuruFocus considers Pengana Capital Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:PCG:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.45
  • GF Value™: A$0.34 vs. price of A$0.73 (113.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 38/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:PCG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Pengana Capital Group Business Description

Address Governor Phillip Tower, 1 Farrer Place, Suite 27.1, Level 27, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Pengana Capital Group Ltd is a diversified fund management company. Its objective is to increase investor wealth by developing, offering, and managing investment funds in Australia and globally as opportunities arise. It operates in one operating segment being the development, offering of, and management of investment funds.
38GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:PCG

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$0.73
Price
A$0.34
GF Value