Scout Security (ASX:SCT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$-2.18 (As of Sep. 14, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

What is Scout Security Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Scout Security ASX:SCT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$-2.18 as of Sep. 14, 2026. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-14), Scout Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$-2.18. The stock price of Scout Security is A$0.52. Therefore, Scout Security's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Scout Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:SCT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.85
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Scout Security  (ASX:SCT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Scout Security's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.52/-2.1830713150905
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Scout Security Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Scout Security Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Scout Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Scout Security Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Scout Security Annual Data
Trend Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 -16.05 -2.18

Scout Security Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -16.05 0.00 -2.18 0.00

ASX:SCT vs ALLE, MSA, ADT: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, Scout Security's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Scout Security Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Scout Security's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Scout Security's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Scout Security Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Scout Security's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$-2.20.

Scout Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun25)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-2.2045714285714+-5.571/0.8)/12.804
=-2.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$-2.18 mean?
Scout Security (ASX:SCT) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$-2.18 as of Sep. 14, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Scout Security and its competitors.
Is Scout Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Scout Security's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$-2.18.
How does Scout Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to ALLE and MSA?
Scout Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$-2.18 can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.85. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Business Services company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Business Services companies is 0.85, based on 687 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Scout Security and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.85 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Scout Security's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$-2.18. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Scout Security stock overvalued right now?
Scout Security (ASX:SCT) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$-2.18. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$-2.18. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Scout Security (ASX:SCT), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$-2.18 as of Sep. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Scout Security Business Description

Address 210 George Street, Level 8, Sydney, WA, AUS, 2000
Scout Security Ltd is an Australian firm that sells the Scout alarm, a self-installed, wireless home security system. Its product includes Scout Hub, Door Panel, Motion Sensor, Access Sensor, Scout Indoor Camera, Scout Video Doorbell, Keypad, Water Sensor, Smart Smoke and Carbon Monoxide Detector, Glass Break Sensor, and Door Lock. The firm operates in one segment, being home security services in the USA. The Key revenue is derived from the USA. The company operates in the United States and Australia, with the majority of its revenue generated from the United States.