Vista Group International (ASX:VGL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.29 (As of Aug. 27, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:VGL Vista Group International Ltd ASX:VGL
84 GF Score
Price A$2.30
GF Value A$2.29
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Vista Group International ASX:VGL -2.54% 84 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.29 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:VGL with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of A$2.29 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,468 Software companies, Vista Group International ranks worse than 90.19% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-27), Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.29. The stock price of Vista Group International is A$2.30. Therefore, Vista Group International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 7.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:VGL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.37   Med: 3.92   Max: 8.17
Current: 7.93

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Vista Group International was 8.17. The lowest was 2.37. And the median was 3.92.

ASX:VGL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
90.19% of 1468 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.445 vs ASX:VGL: 7.93

Vista Group International  (ASX:VGL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Vista Group International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.30/0.29229610022057
=7.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Vista Group International Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.59 0.44 0.39 0.37 0.31

Vista Group International Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.37 0.00 0.31 0.00

ASX:VGL vs QH, SHOP, UBER: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Vista Group International's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vista Group International Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Vista Group International's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vista Group International's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ASX:VGL
84GF Score
Vista Group International Ltd ASX:VGL
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Vista Group International's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$-3.40.

Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-3.3962857142857+128.291*0.8)/240.506
=0.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.29 mean?
Vista Group International (ASX:VGL) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.29 as of Aug. 27, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Vista Group International and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Vista Group International ranks #1324 out of 1468 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 90.2%.
Is Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Vista Group International's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.29. Based on the distribution chart, Vista Group International ranks #1324 out of 1468 companies in the Software industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Vista Group International has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to QH and SHOP?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Vista Group International ranks #1324 out of 1468 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Vista Group International in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.45. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Software companies is 1.45, based on 1,468 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Vista Group International and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Vista Group International's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vista Group International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vista Group International (ASX:VGL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$2.29, compared to a current price of A$2.30 — trading 0.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.29. Vista Group International's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vista Group International (ASX:VGL), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.29 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vista Group International (ASX:VGL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vista Group International stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$2.30 is trading 0.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$2.29. GuruFocus considers Vista Group International to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:VGL:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.29
  • GF Value™: A$2.29 vs. price of A$2.30 (0.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:VGL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vista Group International Business Description

Other Exchanges VGL:New Zealand
Address 90 Wellesley Street West, Shed 12, City Works Depot, Auckland, NZL, 1010
Vista Group International Ltd provides software and technology solutions across the global film industry sectors of distribution, exhibition, and the end consumer, moviegoers. The principal activity is the sale, support, and associated development of software for the film industry. The company operates in the vertical cinema/film market in the following reportable segments namely the Cinema segment and Film segment. The company has offices in New Zealand, with additional offices located in Sydney, Cape Town, London, Amsterdam, Beijing, Shanghai, Kuala Lumpur, Los Angeles, and Mexico City.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:VGL

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$2.30
Price
A$2.29
GF Value