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Avalon Advanced MaterialsAVLNF 65 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.25 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus rates AVLNF with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of $12.92 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 659 Metals & Mining companies, Avalon Advanced Materials ranks better than 80.73% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Avalon Advanced Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
AVLNF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31 Med: 0.8 Max: 2.35
Current: 0.89
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Avalon Advanced Materials was 2.35. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 0.80.
AVLNF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 80.73% of 659
companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 2.37
vs AVLNF: 0.89
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Avalon Advanced Materials's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
5.582
/
6.1011616775792
=
0.91
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Avalon Advanced Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Avalon Advanced Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Avalon Advanced Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Avalon Advanced Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Avalon Advanced Materials Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Avalon Advanced Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Avalon Advanced Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $6.25 mean?
Avalon Advanced Materials (AVLNF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $6.25 as of Sep. 11, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Avalon Advanced Materials and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Avalon Advanced Materials ranks #127 out of 659 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 19.3%.
Is Avalon Advanced Materials' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Avalon Advanced Materials' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.25. The Metals & Mining industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.37. Avalon Advanced Materials' value of $6.25 is 163.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Avalon Advanced Materials ranks #127 out of 659 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Avalon Advanced Materials has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Avalon Advanced Materials' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Avalon Advanced Materials ranks #127 out of 659 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Avalon Advanced Materials in the top 19% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.37. Avalon Advanced Materials' value of $6.25 is 163.7% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.37, based on 659 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Avalon Advanced Materials's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $6.25 is 163.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Avalon Advanced Materials and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.37 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Avalon Advanced Materials's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Avalon Advanced Materials stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avalon Advanced Materials (AVLNF) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $12.92, compared to a current price of $5.58 — trading 56.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.25 and 163.7% above the Metals & Mining industry median of 2.37. Avalon Advanced Materials' overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Avalon Advanced Materials (AVLNF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.25 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Avalon Advanced Materials (AVLNF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avalon Advanced Materials stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $5.58 is trading 56.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $12.92.
GuruFocus considers Avalon Advanced Materials to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for AVLNF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $6.25
GF Value™: $12.92 vs. price of $5.58 (56.8% below fair value)
Industry Position: 163.7% above the Metals & Mining median (#127 of 659)
No single metric tells the full story. See the AVLNF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Avalon Advanced Materials Inc is a mineral exploration and development company. It is principally engaged in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of specialty and critical minerals properties, located principally in Canada. It holds an exploration license within four claims in the East Kemptville area of Yarmouth, Nova Scotia. The company also holds an interest in a mining lease in the Warren Township Anorthosite Project, Nechalacho REE Project, and Net Smelter Returns (NSR) rights in the East Cedartree Gold Property, and the Wolf Mountain Platinum-Palladium Project located near Thunder Bay, Ontario.
65GF Score
Get the complete analysis for AVLNF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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