BCHT (Birchtech) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.31 (As of Aug. 11, 2026) — 59% Below Median

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BCHT Birchtech Corp BCHT
55 GF Score
Price $1.43
GF Value $3.30
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Birchtech Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Birchtech BCHT +2.88% 55 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.31 as of Aug. 11, 2026, which is 59% below its 10-year median of 3.16. GuruFocus rates BCHT with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.30 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,023 Industrial Products companies, Birchtech ranks better than 67.82% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-11), Birchtech's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.31. The stock price of Birchtech is $1.43. Therefore, Birchtech's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Birchtech's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BCHT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.04   Med: 3.16   Max: 4.33
Current: 1.09

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Birchtech was 4.33. The lowest was 1.04. And the median was 3.16.

BCHT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
67.82% of 2023 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.73 vs BCHT: 1.09

Birchtech  (AMEX:BCHT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Birchtech's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.43/1.3110223049477
=1.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Birchtech Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Birchtech Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Birchtech's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Birchtech Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Birchtech Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.34 -1.08 1.14 1.17 1.12

Birchtech Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.07 0.78 0.96 1.12 1.31

BCHT vs SCWO, FTEK, CLIR: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Pollution & Treatment Controls subindustry, Birchtech's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Birchtech Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Birchtech's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Birchtech's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


BCHT
55GF Score
Birchtech Corp BCHT
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Birchtech Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Birchtech's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1.80.

Birchtech's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.918777632373*1.79584+11.169*0.8)/21.772
=1.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.31 mean?
Birchtech (BCHT) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.31 as of Aug. 11, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Birchtech and its competitors. This is 59% below median its historical median of 3.16. Over the past decade, Birchtech's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.04 to 4.33. According to the industry distribution chart, Birchtech ranks #651 out of 2023 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 32.2%.
Is Birchtech's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Birchtech's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.31 is 59% below median its 10-year median of 3.16. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.04 to a high of 4.33. The Industrial Products industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.73. Birchtech's value of $1.31 is 24.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Birchtech ranks #651 out of 2023 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Birchtech has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Birchtech's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to SCWO and FTEK?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Birchtech ranks #651 out of 2023 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Birchtech in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.73. Birchtech's value of $1.31 is 24.3% below this benchmark. Historically, Birchtech's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.04 to 4.33 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.16 vs. the industry median of 1.73, Birchtech has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Industrial Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Industrial Products companies is 1.73, based on 2,023 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Birchtech's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.31 is 24.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Birchtech and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.73 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Birchtech's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.31, which is 59% below median its own 10-year median of 3.16. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Birchtech stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Birchtech (BCHT) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.30, compared to a current price of $1.43 — trading 56.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.31, which is 59% below median its 10-year median of 3.16 and 24.3% below the Industrial Products industry median of 1.73. Birchtech's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Birchtech (BCHT), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.31 as of Aug. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Birchtech (BCHT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Birchtech stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $1.43 is trading 56.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $3.30. GuruFocus considers Birchtech to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for BCHT:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.31 (59% below median its 10-year median of 3.16)
  • GF Value™: $3.30 vs. price of $1.43 (56.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 24.3% below the Industrial Products median (#651 of 2023)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BCHT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Birchtech Business Description

Other Exchanges BCHT:Canada
Address 1810 Jester Drive, Corsicana, TX, USA, 75109
Birchtech Corp is a provider of specialty activated carbon technologies, delivering solutions for air and water purification. It provides patented and proprietary Sorbent Enhancement Additive (SEA) technologies for mercury emissions capture to the coal-fired utility sector, and is developing water purification technologies with a specialization on forever chemicals such as PFAS and PFOS. Geographically, the company derives all of its revenue from the United States.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BCHT

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.43
Price
$3.30
GF Value