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Alucon PCLBKK:ALUCON-R 64 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿228.16 as of Aug. 01, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.63. GuruFocus rates BKK:ALUCON-R with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿140.14. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 643 Metals & Mining companies, Alucon PCL ranks better than 82.27% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-01), Alucon PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿228.16. The stock price of Alucon PCL is ฿179.50. Therefore, Alucon PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.
The historical rank and industry rank for Alucon PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
BKK:ALUCON-R'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.41 Med: 0.63 Max: 1.41
Current: 0.79
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alucon PCL was 1.41. The lowest was 0.41. And the median was 0.63.
BKK:ALUCON-R's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 82.27% of 643
companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 2.09
vs BKK:ALUCON-R: 0.79
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Alucon PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
179.50
/
321.57696763126
=
0.56
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alucon PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Alucon PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Alucon PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
BKK:ALUCON-R vs AA, CENX, CSTM: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Aluminum subindustry, Alucon PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Alucon PCL Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alucon PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Alucon PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ฿228.16 mean?
Alucon PCL (BKK:ALUCON-R) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ฿228.16 as of Aug. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alucon PCL and its competitors. This is 36116% above median its historical median of 0.63. Over the past decade, Alucon PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.41 to 1.41. According to the industry distribution chart, Alucon PCL ranks #114 out of 643 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 17.7%.
Is Alucon PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Alucon PCL's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ฿228.16 is 36116% above median its 10-year median of 0.63. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.41 to a high of 1.41. Based on the distribution chart, Alucon PCL ranks #114 out of 643 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Alucon PCL has a GF Score™ of 64/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alucon PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to AA and CENX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Alucon PCL ranks #114 out of 643 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Alucon PCL in the top 18% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.09. Historically, Alucon PCL's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.41 to 1.41 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.09, based on 643 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alucon PCL and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.09 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alucon PCL's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿228.16, which is 36116% above median its own 10-year median of 0.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alucon PCL stock overvalued right now?
Alucon PCL (BKK:ALUCON-R) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ฿228.16. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿140.14, compared to a current price of ฿179.50 — trading 28.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿228.16, which is 36116% above median its 10-year median of 0.63. Alucon PCL's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alucon PCL (BKK:ALUCON-R), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿228.16 as of Aug. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Alucon PCL (BKK:ALUCON-R) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alucon PCL stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of ฿179.50 is trading 28.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of ฿140.14.
Key valuation signals for BKK:ALUCON-R:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ฿228.16 (36116% above median its 10-year median of 0.63)
GF Value™: ฿140.14 vs. price of ฿179.50 (28.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:ALUCON-R stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Alucon PCL is a Thailand-based company engaged in producing and distributing aluminium containers such as Aluminium Collapsible Tubes, Aluminium Monobloc Aerosol Cans, Aluminium Rigid Wall Containers, Aluminium Bottles, Technical Impact Extrusions, Aluminium Slugs, Aluminium Coils, Aluminium Pellets, strips, plates, etc. The company has two segments namely, the Can and tube segment and the Slug segment and it has a business presence in Thailand, Asia Pacific, America and other countries.
64GF Score
Get the complete analysis for BKK:ALUCON-R
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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