Saha Pathanapibul PCL (BKK:SPC-R) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ฿115.95 (As of Sep. 05, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BKK:SPC-R Saha Pathanapibul PCL BKK:SPC-R
83 GF Score
Price ฿56.25
GF Value ฿58.37
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Saha Pathanapibul PCL BKK:SPC-R -1.75% 83 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿115.95 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates BKK:SPC-R with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿58.37. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 226 Retail - Defensive companies, Saha Pathanapibul PCL ranks better than 74.34% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-05), Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿115.95. The stock price of Saha Pathanapibul PCL is ฿56.25. Therefore, Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:SPC-R' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.48   Med: 0.63   Max: 1.53
Current: 0.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Saha Pathanapibul PCL was 1.53. The lowest was 0.48. And the median was 0.63.

BKK:SPC-R's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
74.34% of 226 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs BKK:SPC-R: 0.49

Saha Pathanapibul PCL  (BKK:SPC-R) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=56.25/115.95331333478
=0.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Saha Pathanapibul PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 97.88 95.60 106.90 106.71 111.17

Saha Pathanapibul PCL Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 108.65 107.17 111.17 117.53 119.61

BKK:SPC-R vs SYY, USFD, PFGC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Saha Pathanapibul PCL Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


BKK:SPC-R
83GF Score
Saha Pathanapibul PCL BKK:SPC-R
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ฿1,402.69.

Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.265723347005*1402.6912+29831.192*0.8)/330.000
=115.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ฿115.95 mean?
Saha Pathanapibul PCL (BKK:SPC-R) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ฿115.95 as of Sep. 05, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Saha Pathanapibul PCL and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Saha Pathanapibul PCL ranks #58 out of 226 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 25.7%.
Is Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Saha Pathanapibul PCL's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿115.95. Based on the distribution chart, Saha Pathanapibul PCL ranks #58 out of 226 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Saha Pathanapibul PCL has a GF Score™ of 83/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to SYY and USFD?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Saha Pathanapibul PCL ranks #58 out of 226 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Saha Pathanapibul PCL in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.84. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Retail - Defensive companies is 0.84, based on 226 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Saha Pathanapibul PCL and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.84 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Saha Pathanapibul PCL's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿115.95. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Saha Pathanapibul PCL stock overvalued right now?
Saha Pathanapibul PCL (BKK:SPC-R) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ฿115.95. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿58.37, compared to a current price of ฿56.25 — trading 3.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿115.95. Saha Pathanapibul PCL's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Saha Pathanapibul PCL (BKK:SPC-R), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿115.95 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Saha Pathanapibul PCL (BKK:SPC-R) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Saha Pathanapibul PCL stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ฿56.25 is trading 3.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of ฿58.37.

Key valuation signals for BKK:SPC-R:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ฿115.95
  • GF Value™: ฿58.37 vs. price of ฿56.25 (3.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:SPC-R stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Saha Pathanapibul PCL Business Description

Other Exchanges SPC:Thailand
Address 2156 New Petchburi Road, Bangkapi, Huaykwang, Bangkok, THA, 10310
Saha Pathanapibul PCL is a Thailand-based company, engaged in the business of consumer goods distribution and property development. In addition, the company along with its subsidiaries is also involved in the business of investing in real estate and services, and office building for rent. The company operates in two reportable segments as follows: Sales of consumer products; and Office building for rent. It generates the majority of the revenue from the sales of consumer products segment. It distributes products range which includes food, beverages, household, and personal care products. The group operates its business activities in Thailand and internationally.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BKK:SPC-R

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿56.25
Price
฿58.37
GF Value