Patria Investments (BSP:P2AX34) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: R$36.77 (As of Sep. 11, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BSP:P2AX34 Patria Investments Ltd BSP:P2AX34
69 GF Score
Price R$27.54
GF Value R$38.10
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Patria Investments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Patria Investments BSP:P2AX34 69 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is R$36.77 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:P2AX34 with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of R$38.10 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,219 Asset Management companies, Patria Investments ranks better than 59.15% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-11), Patria Investments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is R$36.77. The stock price of Patria Investments is R$27.54. Therefore, Patria Investments's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Patria Investments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:P2AX34' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.75   Med: 1.11   Max: 1.5
Current: 0.75

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Patria Investments was 1.50. The lowest was 0.75. And the median was 1.11.

BSP:P2AX34's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
59.15% of 1219 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 0.89 vs BSP:P2AX34: 0.75

Patria Investments  (BSP:P2AX34) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Patria Investments's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=27.54/76.638242451551
=0.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Patria Investments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Patria Investments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Patria Investments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Patria Investments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Patria Investments Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.52

Patria Investments Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 24.47 40.52 34.42

BSP:P2AX34 vs NAC, USA, ETV: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Patria Investments's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Patria Investments Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Patria Investments's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Patria Investments's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


BSP:P2AX34
69GF Score
Patria Investments Ltd BSP:P2AX34
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Patria Investments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Patria Investments's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = R$679.57.

Patria Investments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*679.57248+2910.696*0.8)/162.175
=76.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of R$36.77 mean?
Patria Investments (BSP:P2AX34) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of R$36.77 as of Sep. 11, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Patria Investments and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Patria Investments ranks #498 out of 1219 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 40.9%.
Is Patria Investments' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Patria Investments' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is R$36.77. Based on the distribution chart, Patria Investments ranks #498 out of 1219 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Patria Investments has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Patria Investments' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to NAC and USA?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Patria Investments ranks #498 out of 1219 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Patria Investments in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.89. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Asset Management company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Asset Management companies is 0.89, based on 1,219 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Patria Investments and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.89 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Patria Investments's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is R$36.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Patria Investments stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Patria Investments (BSP:P2AX34) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$38.10, compared to a current price of R$27.54 — trading 27.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is R$36.77. Patria Investments' overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Patria Investments (BSP:P2AX34), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is R$36.77 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Patria Investments (BSP:P2AX34) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Patria Investments stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R$27.54 is trading 27.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of R$38.10. GuruFocus considers Patria Investments to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:P2AX34:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: R$36.77
  • GF Value™: R$38.10 vs. price of R$27.54 (27.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:P2AX34 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Patria Investments Business Description

Address 60 Nexus Way, 4th floor, Camana Bay, PO Box 757, 3rd Floor, Camana Bay, Grand Cayman, CYM, KY1-9006
Patria Investments Ltd is an alternative asset management firm specializing in resilient sectors across select regions. It seeks to provide world-wide and Latin American investors with attractive investment products that allows portfolio diversification and consistent returns. The group promotes inclusive and sustainable development in the Asset Classes: Private Equity, Private Equity Solutions, Credit, Real Estate, Infrastructure, and Public Equities Main sectors: Agribusiness, Power & Energy, Healthcare, Logistics & Transportations, Food & Beverage and Digital & Tech Services Investment Regions.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:P2AX34

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$27.54
Price
R$38.10
GF Value