Akebia Therapeutics (FRA:AX9) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €-1.71 (As of Sep. 08, 2026)

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FRA:AX9 Akebia Therapeutics Inc FRA:AX9
51 GF Score
Price €0.82
GF Value €1.03
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Akebia Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Akebia Therapeutics FRA:AX9 -1.09% 51 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €-1.71 as of Sep. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:AX9 with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of €1.03 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 634 Drug Manufacturers companies, Akebia Therapeutics ranks worse than 157728.55% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-08), Akebia Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €-1.71. The stock price of Akebia Therapeutics is €0.8152. Therefore, Akebia Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Akebia Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Akebia Therapeutics was 1.80. The lowest was 1.80. And the median was 1.80.

FRA:AX9's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.57
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Akebia Therapeutics  (FRA:AX9) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Akebia Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.8152/-1.7703304112019
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Akebia Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Akebia Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Akebia Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Akebia Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Akebia Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.48 -5.07 -6.49 -5.90 -2.45

Akebia Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.82 -2.41 -2.45 -2.09 -1.71

FRA:AX9 vs ORGO, SIGA, DERM: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Akebia Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Akebia Therapeutics Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Akebia Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Akebia Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


FRA:AX9
51GF Score
Akebia Therapeutics Inc FRA:AX9
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Akebia Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Akebia Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €-51.96.

Akebia Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-51.95808+21.716*0.8)/269.603
=-1.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €-1.71 mean?
Akebia Therapeutics (FRA:AX9) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €-1.71 as of Sep. 08, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Akebia Therapeutics and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Akebia Therapeutics ranks #999999 out of 634 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Is Akebia Therapeutics' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Akebia Therapeutics' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €-1.71. Based on the distribution chart, Akebia Therapeutics ranks #999999 out of 634 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Akebia Therapeutics has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Akebia Therapeutics' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to ORGO and SIGA?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Akebia Therapeutics ranks #999999 out of 634 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Akebia Therapeutics in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.57. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Drug Manufacturers companies is 1.57, based on 634 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Akebia Therapeutics and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.57 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Akebia Therapeutics's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €-1.71. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Akebia Therapeutics stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Akebia Therapeutics (FRA:AX9) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €1.03, compared to a current price of €0.82 — trading 20.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €-1.71. Akebia Therapeutics' overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Akebia Therapeutics (FRA:AX9), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €-1.71 as of Sep. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Akebia Therapeutics (FRA:AX9) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Akebia Therapeutics stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €0.82 is trading 20.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of €1.03. GuruFocus considers Akebia Therapeutics to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:AX9:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €-1.71
  • GF Value™: €1.03 vs. price of €0.82 (20.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:AX9 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Akebia Therapeutics Business Description

Other Exchanges AKBA:USAAX9:Germany
Address 245 First Street, Suite 1400, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02142
Akebia Therapeutics Inc is a fully integrated biopharmaceutical company. The Company's operating segment is the business of developing and commercializing novel therapeutics. The current portfolio of the company includes Auryxia (ferric citrate), a medicine approved and marketed in the United States for the control of serum phosphorus levels in adult patients with dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease and the treatment of iron deficiency anemia, in adult patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease, Vafseo (vadadustat), an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase, inhibitor approved in Japan for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease, and HIF-PH inhibitors in preclinical development.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:AX9

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.82
Price
€1.03
GF Value