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CMGE Technology Group (HKSE:00302) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$1.55 (As of Jun. 18, 2024)


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What is CMGE Technology Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-18), CMGE Technology Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$1.55. The stock price of CMGE Technology Group is HK$1.07. Therefore, CMGE Technology Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for CMGE Technology Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00302' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.69   Med: 1   Max: 1.15
Current: 0.69

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of CMGE Technology Group was 1.15. The lowest was 0.69. And the median was 1.00.

HKSE:00302's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
71.93% of 285 companies
in the Interactive Media industry
Industry Median: 1.17 vs HKSE:00302: 0.69

CMGE Technology Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for CMGE Technology Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CMGE Technology Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

CMGE Technology Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 1.56 1.55

CMGE Technology Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 1.56 - 1.55

Competitive Comparison of CMGE Technology Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, CMGE Technology Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CMGE Technology Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, CMGE Technology Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CMGE Technology Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



CMGE Technology Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get CMGE Technology Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-63.14.

CMGE Technology Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.222205783355*-63.139428571429+6229.842*0.8)/2752.672
=1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CMGE Technology Group  (HKSE:00302) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

CMGE Technology Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.07/1.5531490637199
=0.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CMGE Technology Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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CMGE Technology Group (HKSE:00302) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Zhongkang North Road, 10th Floor, Building No. 4, Zhuoyue Meilin Center Square, Futian District, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen, CHN
CMGE is an IP-based mobile game developer and publisher in China with 55 licensed IPs and 68 proprietary IPs as of the end of 2021. The company has over 80 games on the shelf and over 20 games with lifecycles of over three years. Average monthly active users, or MAUs, of CMGE games reached 19.1 million in 2021. The market share of CMGE for online gaming grossing income in 2021 was around 1%.
Executives
Xiao Jian 2101 Beneficial owner
Sin Hendrick 2101 Beneficial owner
Zsy Holding Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Trident Trust Company (b.v.i.) Limited 2301 Trustee
Motion Game Company Limited
Profound Power Investment Limited
Fairview Ridge Investment Limited
Changpei Investment Centre, L.p.
Ambitious Profit Investment Limited
Silver Joyce International Limited
Zhongshouyou Brothers Limited
Xiao Jian 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Victory Aspire Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Cmb Wing Lung (trustee) Limited 2301 Trustee
Antopex Limited 2306 Nominee for another person

CMGE Technology Group (HKSE:00302) Headlines

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