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Red Star Macalline Group (HKSE:01528) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$12.91 (As of Jun. 13, 2024)


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What is Red Star Macalline Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-13), Red Star Macalline Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$12.91. The stock price of Red Star Macalline Group is HK$1.44. Therefore, Red Star Macalline Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Red Star Macalline Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01528' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.11   Med: 0.19   Max: 0.28
Current: 0.11

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Red Star Macalline Group was 0.28. The lowest was 0.11. And the median was 0.19.

HKSE:01528's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
93.57% of 1275 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.64 vs HKSE:01528: 0.11

Red Star Macalline Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Red Star Macalline Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Red Star Macalline Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Red Star Macalline Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 17.12 19.60 15.79 12.87

Red Star Macalline Group Quarterly Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 13.09 13.33 12.87 12.91

Competitive Comparison of Red Star Macalline Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Red Star Macalline Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Red Star Macalline Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Red Star Macalline Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Red Star Macalline Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Red Star Macalline Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Red Star Macalline Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$1,107.51.

Red Star Macalline Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1107.51296+53432.718*0.8)/4127.855
=12.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Red Star Macalline Group  (HKSE:01528) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Red Star Macalline Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.44/12.90987381492
=0.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Red Star Macalline Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Red Star Macalline Group (HKSE:01528) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 2/5, Lane 1466, Shenchang Road, Minhang District, Shanghai, CHN
Red Star Macalline Group Corp Ltd operates home improvement and furnishings shopping malls in China. It has various segments.Owned/Leased Portfolio Shopping Malls segment, which is the key revenue driver, leases floor areas to the tenants and provides management support to them. Managed Shopping Malls segment provides initiation, consultation, and management services to its partners and construction contractors to develop and manage the shopping malls under its own brand. The Construction and design segment provides building installation and decorating services in shopping malls. Sales of merchandise and related services segment include retail sales of home furnishing merchandise and providing related decorating services. All of its revenues are derived from the PRC.
Executives
Taobao China Holding Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Taobao Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Alibaba Investment Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
New Retail Strategic Opportunities Fund Gp, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
New Retail Strategic Opportunities Fund, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
New Retail Strategic Opportunities Gp Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
New Retail Strategic Opportunities Investments 4 Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Alibaba Group Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wong Man Li 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hui Wai Hing 2202 Interest of your spouse
Man Wah Investments Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Ubs Trustees (b.v.i.) Limited 2301 Trustee
Xi Xi Development Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
New Fortune Star Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wong Luen Hei 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl

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