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Gemilang International (HKSE:06163) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$0.18 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Gemilang International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-27), Gemilang International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$0.18. The stock price of Gemilang International is HK$0.23. Therefore, Gemilang International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gemilang International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06163' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.74   Med: 1.76   Max: 3.07
Current: 1.28

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Gemilang International was 3.07. The lowest was 0.74. And the median was 1.76.

HKSE:06163's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
56.87% of 895 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.04 vs HKSE:06163: 1.28

Gemilang International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gemilang International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gemilang International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Gemilang International Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.91 0.56 0.74 0.30 0.18

Gemilang International Semi-Annual Data
Oct13 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.74 - 0.30 - 0.18

Competitive Comparison of Gemilang International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Gemilang International's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gemilang International's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Gemilang International's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gemilang International's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Gemilang International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Gemilang International's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-4.36.

Gemilang International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Oct23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-4.3552857142857+107.58*0.8)/251.364
=0.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gemilang International  (HKSE:06163) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Gemilang International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.23/0.17743252295125
=1.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gemilang International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Gemilang International (HKSE:06163) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Ptd 42326, Jalan Seelong, Mukim Senai, Senai, JHR, MYS, 81400
Gemilang International Ltd designs and manufactures bus bodies and assembles buses. The Group divides its target markets into two segments, namely core markets which comprise Singapore and Malaysia, and developing markets which comprise all other markets to where the Group exports its products to, including Australia, Hong Kong, the USA and Uzbekistan. The Group's buses, comprising city buses and coaches in aluminium, mainly serve public and private bus transportation operators in its target markets. The Group's products mainly include single deck, double deck and articulated city buses, as well as single deck, double deck and high deck coaches. It derives a majority of revenue from Singapore.
Executives
Low Poh Teng 2202 Interest of your spouse
Pang Chong Yong 2101 Beneficial owner
Kan Suk Ping 2101 Beneficial owner
Golden Castle Investments Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Gold-face Finance Limited 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Upbest Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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