IDKOF (Idemitsu Kosan Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $11.43 (As of Sep. 13, 2026)

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IDKOF Idemitsu Kosan Co Ltd IDKOF
77 GF Score
Price $7.65
GF Value $6.90
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Idemitsu Kosan Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Idemitsu Kosan Co IDKOF 77 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.43 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates IDKOF with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of $6.90 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 634 Oil & Gas companies, Idemitsu Kosan Co ranks better than 64.98% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-13), Idemitsu Kosan Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.43. The stock price of Idemitsu Kosan Co is $7.65. Therefore, Idemitsu Kosan Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Idemitsu Kosan Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

IDKOF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.56   Med: 0.68   Max: 0.79
Current: 0.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Idemitsu Kosan Co was 0.79. The lowest was 0.56. And the median was 0.68.

IDKOF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
64.98% of 634 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs IDKOF: 0.67

Idemitsu Kosan Co  (OTCPK:IDKOF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Idemitsu Kosan Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=7.65/13.695100771928
=0.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Idemitsu Kosan Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Idemitsu Kosan Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Idemitsu Kosan Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Idemitsu Kosan Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Idemitsu Kosan Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.91 6.30 8.58 13.19 15.41

Idemitsu Kosan Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.41 0.00

IDKOF vs MPC, VLO, PSX: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Idemitsu Kosan Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Idemitsu Kosan Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Idemitsu Kosan Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Idemitsu Kosan Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


IDKOF
77GF Score
Idemitsu Kosan Co Ltd IDKOF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Idemitsu Kosan Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Idemitsu Kosan Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $603.13.

Idemitsu Kosan Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.773635598597*603.131+12087.795*0.8)/1224.619
=13.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $11.43 mean?
Idemitsu Kosan Co (IDKOF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $11.43 as of Sep. 13, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Idemitsu Kosan Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Idemitsu Kosan Co ranks #222 out of 634 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 35%.
Is Idemitsu Kosan Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Idemitsu Kosan Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.43. The Oil & Gas industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.87. Idemitsu Kosan Co's value of $11.43 is 1213.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Idemitsu Kosan Co ranks #222 out of 634 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Idemitsu Kosan Co has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Idemitsu Kosan Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MPC and VLO?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Idemitsu Kosan Co ranks #222 out of 634 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Idemitsu Kosan Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.87. Idemitsu Kosan Co's value of $11.43 is 1213.8% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Oil & Gas companies is 0.87, based on 634 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Idemitsu Kosan Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $11.43 is 1213.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Idemitsu Kosan Co and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.87 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Idemitsu Kosan Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Idemitsu Kosan Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Idemitsu Kosan Co (IDKOF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $6.90, compared to a current price of $7.65 — trading 10.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.43 and 1213.8% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 0.87. Idemitsu Kosan Co's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Idemitsu Kosan Co (IDKOF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.43 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Idemitsu Kosan Co (IDKOF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Idemitsu Kosan Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $7.65 is trading 10.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $6.90. GuruFocus considers Idemitsu Kosan Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IDKOF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $11.43
  • GF Value™: $6.90 vs. price of $7.65 (10.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1213.8% above the Oil & Gas median (#222 of 634)

No single metric tells the full story. See the IDKOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Idemitsu Kosan Co Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 1-2-1 Otemachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-8321
Idemitsu Kosan Co Ltd engages in a variety of activities globally that include petroleum products, oil exploration and production, coal, and other businesses. The company operates through five segments. The Basic Chemicals segment makes and sells olefins and aroma products. Electricity/Renewable Energy covers thermal, solar, and wind power generation, electricity sales, and solar business. Fuel Oil handles production, trading, and import/export of refined petroleum. The Highly Functional Materials segment includes lubricants, chemicals, electronic materials, paving materials, and agri-bio. The Resource segment explores, develops, and sells crude oil, natural gas, and coal. Others cover insurance and intra-group services. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Fuel oil segment.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IDKOF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$7.65
Price
$6.90
GF Value