ILKAF (Iluka Resources) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.66 (As of Sep. 01, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ILKAF Iluka Resources Ltd ILKAF
68 GF Score
Price $5.00
GF Value $3.28
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Iluka Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Iluka Resources ILKAF +2.67% 68 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.66 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates ILKAF with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.28 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 651 Metals & Mining companies, Iluka Resources ranks worse than 60.06% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-01), Iluka Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.66. The stock price of Iluka Resources is $5.00. Therefore, Iluka Resources's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Iluka Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ILKAF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.59   Med: 0.78   Max: 3.13
Current: 3.01

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Iluka Resources was 3.13. The lowest was 0.59. And the median was 0.78.

ILKAF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
60.06% of 651 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 2.39 vs ILKAF: 3.01

Iluka Resources  (OTCPK:ILKAF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Iluka Resources's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.00/1.6088454278377
=3.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Iluka Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Iluka Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Iluka Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Iluka Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Iluka Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.63 6.72 5.77 3.92 1.50

Iluka Resources Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 3.92 0.00 1.50 0.00

Iluka Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Iluka Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Iluka Resources Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Iluka Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Iluka Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ILKAF
68GF Score
Iluka Resources Ltd ILKAF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Iluka Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Iluka Resources's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-43.04.

Iluka Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-43.044857142857+1374.618*0.8)/428.812
=1.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.66 mean?
Iluka Resources (ILKAF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.66 as of Sep. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Iluka Resources and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Iluka Resources ranks #391 out of 651 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 60.1%.
Is Iluka Resources' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Iluka Resources' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.66. The Metals & Mining industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.39. Iluka Resources' value of $1.66 is 30.5% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Iluka Resources ranks #391 out of 651 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Iluka Resources has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Iluka Resources' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Iluka Resources ranks #391 out of 651 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Iluka Resources in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.39. Iluka Resources' value of $1.66 is 30.5% below this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.39, based on 651 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Iluka Resources's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.66 is 30.5% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Iluka Resources and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.39 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Iluka Resources's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Iluka Resources stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Iluka Resources (ILKAF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.28, compared to a current price of $5.00 — trading 52.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.66 and 30.5% below the Metals & Mining industry median of 2.39. Iluka Resources' overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Iluka Resources (ILKAF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.66 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Iluka Resources (ILKAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Iluka Resources stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $5.00 is trading 52.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.28. GuruFocus considers Iluka Resources to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ILKAF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.66
  • GF Value™: $3.28 vs. price of $5.00 (52.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 30.5% below the Metals & Mining median (#391 of 651)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ILKAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Iluka Resources Business Description

Address 240 St Georges Terrace, Level 17, Perth, WA, AUS, 6000
Iluka Resources is a leading global mineral sands miner. It is the largest global producer of zircon, and one of the largest producers of titanium dioxide feedstocks (rutile, synthetic rutile). Low zircon costs are underpinned by the high-grade Jacinth-Ambrosia mine in South Australia, but reserve life is less than 10 years. A 20% shareholding in Deterra Royalties brings exposure to the high-quality Mining Area C iron ore royalty. Production from the Balranald rutile and zircon mine commenced in late 2025, and Iluka is also building a rare-earth refinery at Eneabba. The refinery will be able to process Iluka's existing monazite stockpile as well as feed from third parties, Balranald, and future Iluka projects.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ILKAF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$5.00
Price
$3.28
GF Value