Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS (IST:ASELS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₺46.56 (As of Aug. 29, 2026)

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IST:ASELS Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS IST:ASELS
80 GF Score
Price ₺404.00
GF Value ₺144.12
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS IST:ASELS +0.06% 80 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺46.56 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates IST:ASELS with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of ₺144.12 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 196 Aerospace & Defense companies, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS ranks worse than 83.67% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-29), Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺46.56. The stock price of Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS is ₺404.00. Therefore, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 8.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ASELS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.43   Med: 5.2   Max: 40.04
Current: 8.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS was 40.04. The lowest was 2.43. And the median was 5.20.

IST:ASELS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
83.67% of 196 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 2.72 vs IST:ASELS: 8.68

Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS  (IST:ASELS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=404.00/46.563911408082
=8.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.17 12.33 17.60 28.04 46.74

Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.36 29.64 46.74 47.13 46.56

IST:ASELS vs SPCX, GE, RTX: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


IST:ASELS
80GF Score
Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS IST:ASELS
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₺-2,224.63.

Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-2224.6304+306744.183*0.8)/4560.000
=46.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₺46.56 mean?
Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS (IST:ASELS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₺46.56 as of Aug. 29, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS ranks #164 out of 196 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 83.7%.
Is Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺46.56. Based on the distribution chart, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS ranks #164 out of 196 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to SPCX and GE?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS ranks #164 out of 196 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.72. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Aerospace & Defense company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Aerospace & Defense companies is 2.72, based on 196 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS and its competitors. For the Aerospace & Defense industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.72 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺46.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS (IST:ASELS) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₺144.12, compared to a current price of ₺404.00 — trading 180.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺46.56. Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS (IST:ASELS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺46.56 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS (IST:ASELS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₺404.00 is trading 180.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₺144.12. GuruFocus considers Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IST:ASELS:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₺46.56
  • GF Value™: ₺144.12 vs. price of ₺404.00 (180.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the IST:ASELS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aselsan Elektroniknayi Ve Ticaret AS Business Description

Address Mehmet Akif Ersoy Mahallesi 296, Cadde No.16, Yenimahalle, Ankara, TUR, 06370
Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS provides defense technologies to the Turkish armed forces. Additionally, it exports systems and solutions to clients in other countries and has taken on civil projects. Its products may help with communications, radars, sensing, or other defense systems to enhance proficiencies within the industrials sector. Marketing efforts may be geared toward a specific customer or specific segment in the market, and plans are implemented to showcase product capabilities.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IST:ASELS

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₺404.00
Price
₺144.12
GF Value