Automatic Data Processing (MEX:ADAP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MXN2,325.68 (As of Sep. 03, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:ADAP Automatic Data Processing Inc MEX:ADAP
92 GF Score
Price MXN4,760.40
GF Value MXN5,186.05
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Automatic Data Processing Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Automatic Data Processing MEX:ADAP +1.50% 92 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,325.68 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:ADAP with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN5,186.05 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,472 Software companies, Automatic Data Processing ranks worse than 62.57% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-03), Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,325.68. The stock price of Automatic Data Processing is MXN4760.40. Therefore, Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ADAP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.63   Med: 2.34   Max: 2.9
Current: 2.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Automatic Data Processing was 2.90. The lowest was 1.63. And the median was 2.34.

MEX:ADAP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
62.57% of 1472 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.44 vs MEX:ADAP: 2.05

Automatic Data Processing  (MEX:ADAP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4760.40/2242.6769108046
=2.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Automatic Data Processing Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Automatic Data Processing Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Automatic Data Processing Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Automatic Data Processing Annual Data
Trend Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,472.26 1,657.10 1,947.28 2,251.27 2,380.39

Automatic Data Processing Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2,251.27 2,149.94 2,197.15 2,411.87 2,380.39

MEX:ADAP vs SNOW, ADBE, INTU: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Automatic Data Processing Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MEX:ADAP
92GF Score
Automatic Data Processing Inc MEX:ADAP
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Automatic Data Processing Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Automatic Data Processing's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = MXN67,120.02.

Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.100819886097*67120.0168+105238.409*0.8)/399.700
=2,242.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN2,325.68 mean?
Automatic Data Processing (MEX:ADAP) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN2,325.68 as of Sep. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Automatic Data Processing and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Automatic Data Processing ranks #921 out of 1472 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 62.6%.
Is Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Automatic Data Processing's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,325.68. Based on the distribution chart, Automatic Data Processing ranks #921 out of 1472 companies in the Software industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Automatic Data Processing has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to SNOW and ADBE?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Automatic Data Processing ranks #921 out of 1472 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Automatic Data Processing in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.44. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Software companies is 1.44, based on 1,472 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Automatic Data Processing and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.44 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Automatic Data Processing's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,325.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Automatic Data Processing stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Automatic Data Processing (MEX:ADAP) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN5,186.05, compared to a current price of MXN4,760.40 — trading 8.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,325.68. Automatic Data Processing's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Automatic Data Processing (MEX:ADAP), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,325.68 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Automatic Data Processing (MEX:ADAP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Automatic Data Processing stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN4,760.40 is trading 8.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN5,186.05. GuruFocus considers Automatic Data Processing to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ADAP:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MXN2,325.68
  • GF Value™: MXN5,186.05 vs. price of MXN4,760.40 (8.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ADAP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Automatic Data Processing Business Description

Address One ADP Boulevard, Roseland, NJ, USA, 07068
Automatic Data Processing, or ADP, is a global, cloud-based human capital management provider offering payroll, compliance, talent management, benefits administration, and retirement services. The firm also provides HR outsourcing services, including PEO offerings, enabling clients to reduce HR overhead. Its broad suite serves customers of all sizes across diverse sectors, and the firm holds large market shares in its core markets. As of fiscal 2025, ADP counts over 1.1 million clients and manages payroll for more than 42 million workers across 140 countries.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ADAP

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN4,760.40
Price
MXN5,186.05
GF Value