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AdvanSixMEX:ASIX 53 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN675.77 as of Aug. 16, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.69. GuruFocus rates MEX:ASIX with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN647.77 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,144 Chemicals companies, AdvanSix ranks better than 90.12% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-16), AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN675.77. The stock price of AdvanSix is MXN273.00. Therefore, AdvanSix's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.
The historical rank and industry rank for AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
MEX:ASIX'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39 Med: 0.69 Max: 1.47
Current: 0.4
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of AdvanSix was 1.47. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.69.
MEX:ASIX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 90.12% of 1144
companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.36
vs MEX:ASIX: 0.40
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
AdvanSix's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
273.00
/
800.81232452928
=
0.34
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
AdvanSix Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
AdvanSix Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MEX:ASIX vs RYAM, ASPI, VHI: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Chemicals subindustry, AdvanSix's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
AdvanSix Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Chemicals Industry
For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, AdvanSix's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where AdvanSix's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN675.77 mean?
AdvanSix (MEX:ASIX) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN675.77 as of Aug. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on AdvanSix and its competitors. This is 97838% above median its historical median of 0.69. Over the past decade, AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.39 to 1.47. According to the industry distribution chart, AdvanSix ranks #113 out of 1144 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 9.9%.
Is AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
AdvanSix's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN675.77 is 97838% above median its 10-year median of 0.69. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.39 to a high of 1.47. Based on the distribution chart, AdvanSix ranks #113 out of 1144 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, AdvanSix has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to RYAM and ASPI?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, AdvanSix ranks #113 out of 1144 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places AdvanSix in the top 10% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.36. Historically, AdvanSix's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.39 to 1.47 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Chemicals company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Chemicals companies is 1.36, based on 1,144 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on AdvanSix and its competitors. For the Chemicals industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.36 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. AdvanSix's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN675.77, which is 97838% above median its own 10-year median of 0.69. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AdvanSix stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AdvanSix (MEX:ASIX) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN647.77, compared to a current price of MXN273.00 — trading 57.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN675.77, which is 97838% above median its 10-year median of 0.69. AdvanSix's overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AdvanSix (MEX:ASIX), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN675.77 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is AdvanSix (MEX:ASIX) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AdvanSix stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of MXN273.00 is trading 57.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN647.77.
GuruFocus considers AdvanSix to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for MEX:ASIX:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MXN675.77 (97838% above median its 10-year median of 0.69)
GF Value™: MXN647.77 vs. price of MXN273.00 (57.9% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ASIX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
AdvanSix Inc is a diversified chemistry company playing a critical role in international supply chains, innovating and delivering essential products for customers across a wide variety of end markets and applications that touch people's lives, including building and construction, fertilizers, agrochemicals, plastics, solvents, packaging, paints, coatings, adhesives, and electronics. The company's key products include Nylon, Caprolactam, Plant Nutrients, and Chemical Intermediates. The majority of sales are from Plant Nutrients products. The company operates in the United States and internationally, with the majority of revenue coming from the United States.
53GF Score
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Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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