GrafTech International (MEX:EAF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MXN553.38 (As of Sep. 22, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:EAF GrafTech International Ltd MEX:EAF
48 GF Score
Price MXN130.51
GF Value MXN329.82
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is GrafTech International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

GrafTech International MEX:EAF 48 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN553.38 as of Sep. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:EAF with a GF Score™ of 48/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN329.82 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,047 Industrial Products companies, GrafTech International ranks better than 95.21% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-22), GrafTech International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN553.38. The stock price of GrafTech International is MXN130.51. Therefore, GrafTech International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for GrafTech International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:EAF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.07   Med: 0.28   Max: 9.79
Current: 0.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of GrafTech International was 9.79. The lowest was 0.07. And the median was 0.28.

MEX:EAF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
95.21% of 2047 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.7 vs MEX:EAF: 0.24

GrafTech International  (MEX:EAF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

GrafTech International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=130.51/619.48618168752
=0.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GrafTech International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


GrafTech International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for GrafTech International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

GrafTech International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

GrafTech International Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
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GrafTech International Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
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MEX:EAF vs NEOV, ESP, SKYX: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, GrafTech International's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GrafTech International Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, GrafTech International's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GrafTech International's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MEX:EAF
48GF Score
GrafTech International Ltd MEX:EAF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

GrafTech International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get GrafTech International's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = MXN2,501.18.

GrafTech International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*2501.1828192+-6038.1941025/0.8)/26.254657
=619.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN553.38 mean?
GrafTech International (MEX:EAF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN553.38 as of Sep. 22, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on GrafTech International and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, GrafTech International ranks #98 out of 2047 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 4.8%.
Is GrafTech International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
GrafTech International's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN553.38. Based on the distribution chart, GrafTech International ranks #98 out of 2047 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, GrafTech International has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does GrafTech International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to NEOV and ESP?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, GrafTech International ranks #98 out of 2047 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places GrafTech International in the top 5% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.70. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Industrial Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Industrial Products companies is 1.70, based on 2,047 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on GrafTech International and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.70 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. GrafTech International's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN553.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is GrafTech International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, GrafTech International (MEX:EAF) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN329.82, compared to a current price of MXN130.51 — trading 60.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN553.38. GrafTech International's overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For GrafTech International (MEX:EAF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN553.38 as of Sep. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is GrafTech International (MEX:EAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, GrafTech International stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN130.51 is trading 60.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN329.82. GuruFocus considers GrafTech International to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MEX:EAF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MXN553.38
  • GF Value™: MXN329.82 vs. price of MXN130.51 (60.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 48/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:EAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


GrafTech International Business Description

Other Exchanges EAF:USAG6G0:Germany
Address 982 Keynote Circle, Brooklyn Heights, Independence, OH, USA, 44131
GrafTech International Ltd is a manufacturer of high-quality graphite electrode products essential to the production of EAF steel and other ferrous and non-ferrous metals. The company has only reportable segment, Industrial Materials, is comprised of its two product categories: graphite electrodes and petroleum needle coke products used as raw material in the production of graphite electrodes.
48GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:EAF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN130.51
Price
MXN329.82
GF Value