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Monster BeverageMNST -2.03%96 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.59 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates MNST with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of $39.96 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 74 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, Monster Beverage ranks worse than 90.54% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-09-01), Monster Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.59. The stock price of Monster Beverage is $44.99. Therefore, Monster Beverage's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.1.
The historical rank and industry rank for Monster Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
MNST'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.1 Med: 2.6 Max: 3.51
Current: 3.08
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Monster Beverage was 3.51. The lowest was 2.10. And the median was 2.60.
MNST's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 90.54% of 74
companies
in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.25
vs MNST: 3.08
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Monster Beverage's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
44.99
/
14.593381184197
=
3.08
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Monster Beverage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Monster Beverage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Monster Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MNST vs KDP, COCSF, COKE: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Monster Beverage's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Monster Beverage Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry
For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Monster Beverage's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Monster Beverage's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.59 mean?
Monster Beverage (MNST) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.59 as of Sep. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Monster Beverage and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Monster Beverage ranks #67 out of 74 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 90.5%.
Is Monster Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Monster Beverage's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.59. The Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.25. Monster Beverage's value of $14.59 is 1067.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Monster Beverage ranks #67 out of 74 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Monster Beverage has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Monster Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to KDP and COCSF?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Monster Beverage ranks #67 out of 74 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Monster Beverage in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.25. Monster Beverage's value of $14.59 is 1067.2% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies is 1.25, based on 74 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Monster Beverage's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.59 is 1067.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Monster Beverage and its competitors. For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.25 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Monster Beverage's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.59. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Monster Beverage stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Monster Beverage (MNST) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $39.96, compared to a current price of $44.99 — trading 12.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.59 and 1067.2% above the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry median of 1.25. Monster Beverage's overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Monster Beverage (MNST), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.59 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Monster Beverage (MNST) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Monster Beverage stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $44.99 is trading 12.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $39.96.
GuruFocus considers Monster Beverage to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for MNST:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $14.59
GF Value™: $39.96 vs. price of $44.99 (12.6% above fair value)
Industry Position: 1067.2% above the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median (#67 of 74)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MNST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Monster Beverage is a leader in the energy drink category within the nonalcoholic ready-to-drink beverage market, generating two-thirds of revenue in the US and Canada. The well-known Monster trademark includes brands such as Monster Energy, Monster Ultra, Java Monster, and Juice Monster. The firm also owns other energy drink brands, such as Reign, NOS, Burn, Bang, and Mother, and brews and distributes beers and flavored malt beverages following the acquisition of a craft brewer in 2022. Monster controls branding and innovation but outsources beverage manufacturing and packaging to co-packers and finished goods distribution to bottlers in the global Coca-Cola system (pursuant to a 20-year agreement inked in 2015). Coke is the largest shareholder of Monster, owning a 20% stake.
96GF Score
Get the complete analysis for MNST
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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