MOGLF (Mongolian Mining) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $2.30 (As of Sep. 16, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MOGLF Mongolian Mining Corp MOGLF
80 GF Score
Price $1.23
GF Value $1.11
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Mongolian Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Mongolian Mining MOGLF -3.54% 80 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.30 as of Sep. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates MOGLF with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.11 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 447 Steel companies, Mongolian Mining ranks better than 65.77% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-16), Mongolian Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.30. The stock price of Mongolian Mining is $1.225. Therefore, Mongolian Mining's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mongolian Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MOGLF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.11   Med: 0.3   Max: 1.14
Current: 0.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Mongolian Mining was 1.14. The lowest was 0.11. And the median was 0.30.

MOGLF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
65.77% of 447 companies
in the Steel industry
Industry Median: 0.73 vs MOGLF: 0.53

Mongolian Mining  (OTCPK:MOGLF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Mongolian Mining's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.225/1.8316469076414
=0.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mongolian Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Mongolian Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mongolian Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mongolian Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Mongolian Mining Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 1.49 2.07 1.98

Mongolian Mining Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

MOGLF vs HCC, AMR, SXC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Coking Coal subindustry, Mongolian Mining's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mongolian Mining Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Mongolian Mining's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mongolian Mining's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MOGLF
80GF Score
Mongolian Mining Corp MOGLF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Mongolian Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Mongolian Mining's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $63.15.

Mongolian Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*63.151714285714+1234.72*0.8)/1051.719099
=1.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $2.30 mean?
Mongolian Mining (MOGLF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $2.30 as of Sep. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mongolian Mining and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Mongolian Mining ranks #153 out of 447 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 34.2%.
Is Mongolian Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Mongolian Mining's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.30. The Steel industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.73. Mongolian Mining's value of $2.30 is 215.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Mongolian Mining ranks #153 out of 447 companies in the Steel industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Mongolian Mining has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mongolian Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to HCC and AMR?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Mongolian Mining ranks #153 out of 447 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Mongolian Mining in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.73. Mongolian Mining's value of $2.30 is 215.1% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Steel company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Steel companies is 0.73, based on 447 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Mongolian Mining's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $2.30 is 215.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mongolian Mining and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.73 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mongolian Mining's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mongolian Mining stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mongolian Mining (MOGLF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.11, compared to a current price of $1.23 — trading 10.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.30 and 215.1% above the Steel industry median of 0.73. Mongolian Mining's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mongolian Mining (MOGLF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.30 as of Sep. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mongolian Mining (MOGLF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mongolian Mining stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $1.23 is trading 10.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.11. GuruFocus considers Mongolian Mining to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MOGLF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $2.30
  • GF Value™: $1.11 vs. price of $1.23 (10.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 215.1% above the Steel median (#153 of 447)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MOGLF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mongolian Mining Business Description

Other Exchanges 00975:Hong Kong29X2:Germany
Address Central Tower, 16th Floor, Sukhbaatar District, Ulaanbaatar, MNG, 14200
Mongolian Mining Corp together with its subsidiaries, is principally engaged in the mining, processing, transportation, and sale of coal and gold products. The company owns and operates the Ukhaa Khudag and Baruun Naran open-pit coking coal mines in Umnugobi aimag, Mongolia. The company generates revenue from the sale of washed hard-coking coal, washed semi-soft coking coal, Middlings, washed mid-ash semi-hard coking coal, Raw thermal coal, and gold & silver products. The majority of the revenue is generated from the sale of washed hard-coking coal. China accounts for the majority of the sales of its products.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MOGLF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.23
Price
$1.11
GF Value