MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $197.29 (As of Sep. 01, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MPWR Monolithic Power Systems Inc MPWR
99 GF Score
Price $1,225.96
GF Value $1,250.18
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Monolithic Power Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Monolithic Power Systems MPWR -3.30% 99 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $197.29 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates MPWR with a GF Score™ of 99/100 and a GF Value™ of $1,250.18 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 597 Semiconductors companies, Monolithic Power Systems ranks worse than 78.22% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-01), Monolithic Power Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $197.29. The stock price of Monolithic Power Systems is $1225.96. Therefore, Monolithic Power Systems's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 6.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Monolithic Power Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MPWR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.41   Med: 4.87   Max: 8.01
Current: 6.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Monolithic Power Systems was 8.01. The lowest was 3.41. And the median was 4.87.

MPWR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
78.22% of 597 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 2.63 vs MPWR: 6.21

Monolithic Power Systems  (NAS:MPWR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Monolithic Power Systems's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1225.96/197.28658007688
=6.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Monolithic Power Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Monolithic Power Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Monolithic Power Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Monolithic Power Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Monolithic Power Systems Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 61.59 74.24 104.41 146.34 180.55

Monolithic Power Systems Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 174.30 185.37 180.55 188.79 197.29

MPWR vs NXPI, ALAB, CRDO: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Monolithic Power Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Monolithic Power Systems Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Monolithic Power Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Monolithic Power Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MPWR
99GF Score
Monolithic Power Systems Inc MPWR
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Monolithic Power Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Monolithic Power Systems's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $444.20.

Monolithic Power Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*444.20048+3895.424*0.8)/49.260
=197.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $197.29 mean?
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $197.29 as of Sep. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Monolithic Power Systems and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Monolithic Power Systems ranks #467 out of 597 companies in the Semiconductors industry, placing it in the top 78.2%.
Is Monolithic Power Systems' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Monolithic Power Systems' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $197.29. The Semiconductors industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.63. Monolithic Power Systems' value of $197.29 is 7401.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Monolithic Power Systems ranks #467 out of 597 companies in the Semiconductors industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Monolithic Power Systems has a GF Score™ of 99/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Monolithic Power Systems' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to NXPI and ALAB?
According to the Semiconductors industry distribution chart, Monolithic Power Systems ranks #467 out of 597 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Monolithic Power Systems in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.63. Monolithic Power Systems' value of $197.29 is 7401.5% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Semiconductors company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Semiconductors companies is 2.63, based on 597 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Monolithic Power Systems's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $197.29 is 7401.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Monolithic Power Systems and its competitors. For the Semiconductors industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.63 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Monolithic Power Systems's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $197.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Monolithic Power Systems stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1,250.18, compared to a current price of $1,225.96 — trading 1.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $197.29 and 7401.5% above the Semiconductors industry median of 2.63. Monolithic Power Systems' overall GF Score™ is 99/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $197.29 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Monolithic Power Systems stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $1,225.96 is trading 1.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $1,250.18. GuruFocus considers Monolithic Power Systems to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MPWR:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $197.29
  • GF Value™: $1,250.18 vs. price of $1,225.96 (1.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 99/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 7401.5% above the Semiconductors median (#467 of 597)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MPWR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Monolithic Power Systems Business Description

Address 1555 Palm Beach Lakes Boulevard, West Palm Beach, FL, USA, 33401
Monolithic Power Systems is an analog and mixed-signal chipmaker specializing in power management solutions. Its mission is to reduce total energy consumption in end systems. It serves the computing, automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer end markets. MPS uses a fabless manufacturing model, partnering with third-party chip foundries to host its proprietary BCD process technology.
99GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MPWR

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1,225.96
Price
$1,250.18
GF Value