MTYFF (MTY Food Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $93.86 (As of Sep. 04, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MTYFF MTY Food Group Inc MTYFF
77 GF Score
Price $25.68
GF Value $32.85
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is MTY Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

MTY Food Group MTYFF 77 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $93.86 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates MTYFF with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of $32.85 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 237 Restaurants companies, MTY Food Group ranks better than 83.12% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-04), MTY Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $93.86. The stock price of MTY Food Group is $25.68. Therefore, MTY Food Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for MTY Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MTYFF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.27   Med: 0.72   Max: 1.47
Current: 0.27

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of MTY Food Group was 1.47. The lowest was 0.27. And the median was 0.72.

MTYFF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
83.12% of 237 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.08 vs MTYFF: 0.27

MTY Food Group  (OTCPK:MTYFF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

MTY Food Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=25.68/95.547414634243
=0.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MTY Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


MTY Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for MTY Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MTY Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

MTY Food Group Annual Data
Trend Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23 Nov24 Nov25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 62.04 61.94 74.69 79.54 90.89

MTY Food Group Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 87.45 89.62 90.89 93.36 93.10

MTYFF vs MCD, SBUX, CMG: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, MTY Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MTY Food Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, MTY Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MTY Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MTYFF
77GF Score
MTY Food Group Inc MTYFF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

MTY Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get MTY Food Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $112.51.

MTY Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (May26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*112.51456+637.667*0.8)/22.841
=95.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $93.86 mean?
MTY Food Group (MTYFF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $93.86 as of Sep. 04, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on MTY Food Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, MTY Food Group ranks #40 out of 237 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 16.9%.
Is MTY Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
MTY Food Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $93.86. The Restaurants industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.08. MTY Food Group's value of $93.86 is 8590.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, MTY Food Group ranks #40 out of 237 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, MTY Food Group has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MTY Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, MTY Food Group ranks #40 out of 237 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places MTY Food Group in the top 17% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.08. MTY Food Group's value of $93.86 is 8590.7% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Restaurants company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Restaurants companies is 1.08, based on 237 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. MTY Food Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $93.86 is 8590.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on MTY Food Group and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.08 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. MTY Food Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $93.86. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MTY Food Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MTY Food Group (MTYFF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $32.85, compared to a current price of $25.68 — trading 21.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $93.86 and 8590.7% above the Restaurants industry median of 1.08. MTY Food Group's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MTY Food Group (MTYFF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $93.86 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MTY Food Group (MTYFF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MTY Food Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $25.68 is trading 21.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $32.85. GuruFocus considers MTY Food Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MTYFF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $93.86
  • GF Value™: $32.85 vs. price of $25.68 (21.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 8590.7% above the Restaurants median (#40 of 237)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MTYFF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MTY Food Group Business Description

Other Exchanges 9MF:GermanyMTY:Canada
Address 8150 autoroute Transcanadienne, Suite 200, Saint-Laurent, QC, CAN, H4S 1M5
MTY Food Group Inc is a franchisor in the quick service and casual dining food industry. Its activities consist of franchising and operating corporate-owned locations as well as the sale of retail products under a multitude of banners. The company's operating segment is based on geographical regions namely Canada; and US & International, which earns maximum revenue. The company brands include Cafe Depot, Country Style, Croissant Plus, Cultures, Extremepita, Fabrika, Jus Jugo Juice, Koya Japan, ManchuWok, Muffin plus, Valentine, Van Houtte, Shushiman and others.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MTYFF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$25.68
Price
$32.85
GF Value