NXPI (NXP Semiconductors NV) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $152.42 (As of Sep. 17, 2026)

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NXPI NXP Semiconductors NV NXPI
93 GF Score
Price $222.16
GF Value $247.13
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is NXP Semiconductors NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

NXP Semiconductors NV NXPI +1.45% 93 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $152.42 as of Sep. 17, 2026. GuruFocus rates NXPI with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of $247.13 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 602 Semiconductors companies, NXP Semiconductors NV ranks better than 72.09% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-17), NXP Semiconductors NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $152.42. The stock price of NXP Semiconductors NV is $222.16. Therefore, NXP Semiconductors NV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for NXP Semiconductors NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NXPI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.66   Med: 1.37   Max: 1.97
Current: 1.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of NXP Semiconductors NV was 1.97. The lowest was 0.66. And the median was 1.37.

NXPI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
72.09% of 602 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 2.64 vs NXPI: 1.44

NXP Semiconductors NV  (NAS:NXPI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

NXP Semiconductors NV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=222.16/158.67349029736
=1.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NXP Semiconductors NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


NXP Semiconductors NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for NXP Semiconductors NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

NXP Semiconductors NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

NXP Semiconductors NV Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 111.67 153.41 165.57 170.52 158.40

NXP Semiconductors NV Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 166.13 164.35 161.20 162.59 160.93

NXPI vs MPWR, ALAB, CRDO: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, NXP Semiconductors NV's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NXP Semiconductors NV Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, NXP Semiconductors NV's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NXP Semiconductors NV's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


NXPI
93GF Score
NXP Semiconductors NV NXPI
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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NXP Semiconductors NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get NXP Semiconductors NV's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2,473.46.

NXP Semiconductors NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.608723088515*2473.4620992+11399.000000095*0.8)/254.021
=158.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $152.42 mean?
NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $152.42 as of Sep. 17, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on NXP Semiconductors NV and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, NXP Semiconductors NV ranks #168 out of 602 companies in the Semiconductors industry, placing it in the top 27.9%.
Is NXP Semiconductors NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
NXP Semiconductors NV's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $152.42. The Semiconductors industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.64. NXP Semiconductors NV's value of $152.42 is 5673.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, NXP Semiconductors NV ranks #168 out of 602 companies in the Semiconductors industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, NXP Semiconductors NV has a GF Score™ of 93/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NXP Semiconductors NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MPWR and ALAB?
According to the Semiconductors industry distribution chart, NXP Semiconductors NV ranks #168 out of 602 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts NXP Semiconductors NV in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.64. NXP Semiconductors NV's value of $152.42 is 5673.5% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Semiconductors company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Semiconductors companies is 2.64, based on 602 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. NXP Semiconductors NV's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $152.42 is 5673.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on NXP Semiconductors NV and its competitors. For the Semiconductors industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.64 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. NXP Semiconductors NV's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $152.42. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NXP Semiconductors NV stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $247.13, compared to a current price of $222.16 — trading 10.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $152.42 and 5673.5% above the Semiconductors industry median of 2.64. NXP Semiconductors NV's overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $152.42 as of Sep. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NXP Semiconductors NV stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $222.16 is trading 10.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $247.13. GuruFocus considers NXP Semiconductors NV to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for NXPI:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $152.42
  • GF Value™: $247.13 vs. price of $222.16 (10.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 93/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 5673.5% above the Semiconductors median (#168 of 602)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NXPI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NXP Semiconductors NV Business Description

Address 60 High Tech Campus, Eindhoven, NB, NLD, 5656 AG
NXP Semiconductors is a leading supplier of high-performance mixed-signal products. The firm acquired Freescale Semiconductor in 2015 and now has significant market share in the automotive market, where it supplies microcontrollers and analog chips into automotive clusters, powertrains, infotainment systems, and radars. NXP Semiconductors also serves industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communications infrastructure.
93GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NXPI

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$222.16
Price
$247.13
GF Value