ORWHF (Oriental Watch Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.58 (As of Aug. 28, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ORWHF Oriental Watch Holdings Ltd ORWHF
46 GF Score
Price $0.44
GF Value $0.45
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Oriental Watch Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Oriental Watch Holdings ORWHF 46 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.58 as of Aug. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates ORWHF with a GF Score™ of 46/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.45 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 767 Retail - Cyclical companies, Oriental Watch Holdings ranks better than 85.92% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-28), Oriental Watch Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.58. The stock price of Oriental Watch Holdings is $0.4385. Therefore, Oriental Watch Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oriental Watch Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ORWHF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.19   Med: 0.28   Max: 0.44
Current: 0.28

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Oriental Watch Holdings was 0.44. The lowest was 0.19. And the median was 0.28.

ORWHF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
85.92% of 767 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.78 vs ORWHF: 0.28

Oriental Watch Holdings  (OTCPK:ORWHF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Oriental Watch Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.4385/1.5392894700618
=0.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Oriental Watch Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Oriental Watch Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Oriental Watch Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Oriental Watch Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Oriental Watch Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.72 1.79 2.17 2.11 1.61

Oriental Watch Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.17 0.00 2.11 0.00 1.61

ORWHF vs TPR: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Oriental Watch Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oriental Watch Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Oriental Watch Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oriental Watch Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ORWHF
46GF Score
Oriental Watch Holdings Ltd ORWHF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Oriental Watch Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Oriental Watch Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $50.02.

Oriental Watch Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.29937129898*50.020857142857+231.226*0.8)/487.358
=1.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.58 mean?
Oriental Watch Holdings (ORWHF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.58 as of Aug. 28, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Oriental Watch Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Oriental Watch Holdings ranks #108 out of 767 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 14.1%.
Is Oriental Watch Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Oriental Watch Holdings' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.58. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.78. Oriental Watch Holdings' value of $1.58 is 102.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Oriental Watch Holdings ranks #108 out of 767 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Oriental Watch Holdings has a GF Score™ of 46/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Oriental Watch Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to TPR?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Oriental Watch Holdings ranks #108 out of 767 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Oriental Watch Holdings in the top 14% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.78. Oriental Watch Holdings' value of $1.58 is 102.6% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.78, based on 767 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Oriental Watch Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.58 is 102.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Oriental Watch Holdings and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.78 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Oriental Watch Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Oriental Watch Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Oriental Watch Holdings (ORWHF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.45, compared to a current price of $0.44 — trading 2.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.58 and 102.6% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 0.78. Oriental Watch Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 46/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Oriental Watch Holdings (ORWHF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.58 as of Aug. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Oriental Watch Holdings (ORWHF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Oriental Watch Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $0.44 is trading 2.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.45. GuruFocus considers Oriental Watch Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ORWHF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.58
  • GF Value™: $0.45 vs. price of $0.44 (2.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 46/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 102.6% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#108 of 767)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ORWHF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Oriental Watch Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 00398:Hong Kong
Address 111 Connaught Road Central, 19th Floor, Wing On Centre, Hong Kong, HKG
Oriental Watch Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in the sales of watches. It operates in Hong Kong, the PRC, Macau, and Taiwan, of which a majority of revenue is generated from the PRC. The group sells its products through retail stores under the brand name Rolex, Tudor, Piaget, Vacheron Constantin, Audemars Piguet, IWC, Jaeger-LeCoultre, Girard Perregaux, Longines, and Omega, among others.
46GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ORWHF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.44
Price
$0.45
GF Value