ORXGF (Orca Energy Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.97 (As of Sep. 21, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ORXGF Orca Energy Group Inc ORXGF
64 GF Score
Price $1.66
GF Value $2.01
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Orca Energy Group ORXGF -1.43% 64 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.97 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates ORXGF with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.01 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 633 Oil & Gas companies, Orca Energy Group ranks better than 51.34% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-21), Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.97. The stock price of Orca Energy Group is $1.66. Therefore, Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ORXGF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.7   Med: 1.99   Max: 6.93
Current: 0.84

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Orca Energy Group was 6.93. The lowest was 0.70. And the median was 1.99.

ORXGF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
51.34% of 633 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.86 vs ORXGF: 0.84

Orca Energy Group  (OTCPK:ORXGF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.66/13.070582139734
=0.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Orca Energy Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.10 17.20 20.70 15.54 17.79

Orca Energy Group Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

ORXGF vs INDO, RSRV, LRDC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orca Energy Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ORXGF
64GF Score
Orca Energy Group Inc ORXGF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Orca Energy Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $25.52.

Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*25.5209552+19.213*0.8)/19.764909
=13.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.97 mean?
Orca Energy Group (ORXGF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.97 as of Sep. 21, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Orca Energy Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Orca Energy Group ranks #308 out of 633 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 48.7%.
Is Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Orca Energy Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.97. The Oil & Gas industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. Orca Energy Group's value of $1.97 is 129.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Orca Energy Group ranks #308 out of 633 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Orca Energy Group has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to INDO and RSRV?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Orca Energy Group ranks #308 out of 633 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Orca Energy Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. Orca Energy Group's value of $1.97 is 129.1% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Oil & Gas companies is 0.86, based on 633 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Orca Energy Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.97 is 129.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Orca Energy Group and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Orca Energy Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.97. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Orca Energy Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orca Energy Group (ORXGF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.01, compared to a current price of $1.66 — trading 17.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.97 and 129.1% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 0.86. Orca Energy Group's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Orca Energy Group (ORXGF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.97 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Orca Energy Group (ORXGF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orca Energy Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $1.66 is trading 17.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $2.01. GuruFocus considers Orca Energy Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ORXGF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.97
  • GF Value™: $2.01 vs. price of $1.66 (17.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 129.1% above the Oil & Gas median (#308 of 633)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ORXGF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Orca Energy Group Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges E9NB:GermanyORC.B:Canada
Address Haile Selassie Road, Oyster Plaza Building, 5th Floor, P.O. Box 80139, Dar es Salaam, TZA
Orca Energy Group Inc produces and sells natural gas to the power and industrial sectors in Tanzania. The company is focused on maintaining safe and reliable operations at the Songo Songo gas field, offshore Tanzania. It operates several upstream, downstream, and distribution infrastructure for the benefit of the Tanzanian population. The Company has one reportable industry segment, which is international exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas. Its gas revenue is derived solely from customers in Tanzania. It aims to create long-term sustainable and accretive value for stakeholders, while minimizing its impact on the environment.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ORXGF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.66
Price
$2.01
GF Value