PHOS (First Phosphate) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $-2.21 (As of Aug. 26, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

PHOS First Phosphate Corp PHOS
14 GF Score
Price $19.10
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

First Phosphate PHOS +7.00% 14 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.21 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates PHOS with a GF Score™ of 14/100. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 652 Metals & Mining companies, First Phosphate ranks worse than 153374.08% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-26), First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.21. The stock price of First Phosphate is $19.10. Therefore, First Phosphate's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PHOS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 2.4
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

First Phosphate  (NAS:PHOS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

First Phosphate's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.10/-2.1702205033965
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

First Phosphate Annual Data
Trend Feb11 Feb12 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.46

First Phosphate Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.46 -2.16

First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Phosphate Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


PHOS
14GF Score
First Phosphate Corp PHOS
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get First Phosphate's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-5.38.

First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (May26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-5.38048+15.664*0.8)/17.829
=-2.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-2.21 mean?
First Phosphate (PHOS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-2.21 as of Aug. 26, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on First Phosphate and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, First Phosphate ranks #999999 out of 652 companies in the Metals & Mining industry.
Is First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
First Phosphate's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.21. Based on the distribution chart, First Phosphate ranks #999999 out of 652 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, First Phosphate has a GF Score™ of 14/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, First Phosphate ranks #999999 out of 652 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places First Phosphate in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.40. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.40, based on 652 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on First Phosphate and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.40 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. First Phosphate's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is First Phosphate stock overvalued right now?
First Phosphate (PHOS) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-2.21. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.21. First Phosphate's overall GF Score™ is 14/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For First Phosphate (PHOS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.21 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

First Phosphate Business Description

Address 1055 West Georgia Street, Suite 1500, Royal Centre, P.O. Box 11117, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6E 4N7
First Phosphate Corp owns and is developing igneous rock phosphate mineral properties in the Saguenay Region of Quebec for the production of phosphoric acid for the production of cathode active material for use in lithium iron phosphate (LPF) batteries for the electric vehicle industry.
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Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$19.10
Price