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Roxas Holdings (PHS:ROX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ₱2.73 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Roxas Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-25), Roxas Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱2.73. The stock price of Roxas Holdings is ₱1.45. Therefore, Roxas Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Roxas Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:ROX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 0.59   Max: 14.3
Current: 0.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Roxas Holdings was 14.30. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.59.

PHS:ROX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
82.94% of 1243 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.15 vs PHS:ROX: 0.53

Roxas Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Roxas Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Roxas Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Roxas Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.08 2.32 2.72 3.07 3.21

Roxas Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.04 3.89 4.25 3.21 2.73

Competitive Comparison of Roxas Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Confectioners subindustry, Roxas Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Roxas Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Roxas Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Roxas Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Roxas Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Roxas Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₱209.57.

Roxas Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*209.5736+2783.44*0.8)/1547.936
=2.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Roxas Holdings  (PHS:ROX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Roxas Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.45/2.7274812119055
=0.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Roxas Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Roxas Holdings (PHS:ROX) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
26th Corner 3rd Avenue, 14th Floor, Net one Center, Bonifacio Global City, Metro Manila, Taguig, PHL, 1634
Roxas Holdings Inc produces, markets, and sells raw and refined sugar, molasses, and related products to food and beverage, and pharmaceutical companies in the Philippines. It operates in two segments namely Sugar and Alcohol. The company generates maximum revenue from the Sugar segment. The alcohol segment is engaged in the manufacture and sale of bio-ethanol fuel. Geographically, it operates only in the Philippines.

Roxas Holdings (PHS:ROX) Headlines