PSGTY (PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $11.89 (As of Sep. 01, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

PSGTY PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PSGTY
56 GF Score
Price $2.00
GF Value $3.75
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PSGTY +21.21% 56 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.89 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates PSGTY with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.75 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 312 Building Materials companies, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk ranks better than 97.76% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-01), PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.89. The stock price of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk is $2.00. Therefore, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PSGTY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.14   Med: 1.02   Max: 1.91
Current: 0.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk was 1.91. The lowest was 0.14. And the median was 1.02.

PSGTY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
97.76% of 312 companies
in the Building Materials industry
Industry Median: 0.8 vs PSGTY: 0.17

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk  (OTCPK:PSGTY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.00/13.356352461325
=0.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.39 15.60 13.74 12.90 14.20

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.01 12.61 14.20 12.26 0.00

PSGTY vs CRH, MLM, VMC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Building Materials subindustry, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


PSGTY
56GF Score
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PSGTY
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $268.73.

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*268.7256+2438.044*0.8)/337.577
=13.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $11.89 mean?
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (PSGTY) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $11.89 as of Sep. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk ranks #7 out of 312 companies in the Building Materials industry, placing it in the top 2.2%.
Is PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.89. The Building Materials industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.80. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's value of $11.89 is 1386.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk ranks #7 out of 312 companies in the Building Materials industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to CRH and MLM?
According to the Building Materials industry distribution chart, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk ranks #7 out of 312 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk in the top 2% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.80. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's value of $11.89 is 1386.3% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Building Materials company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Building Materials companies is 0.80, based on 312 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $11.89 is 1386.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk and its competitors. For the Building Materials industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.80 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.89. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (PSGTY) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.75, compared to a current price of $2.00 — trading 46.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.89 and 1386.3% above the Building Materials industry median of 0.80. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (PSGTY), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.89 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (PSGTY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $2.00 is trading 46.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $3.75. GuruFocus considers PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for PSGTY:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $11.89
  • GF Value™: $3.75 vs. price of $2.00 (46.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1386.3% above the Building Materials median (#7 of 312)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PSGTY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan R.A. Kartini Kav. 8, South Quarter, Tower A, Lantai 19th - 20th Floor, Cilandak Barat, South Jakarta, Jakarta, IDN, 12430
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk is engaged in the manufacturing industry, especially cement & its derivatives, other building materials, and related business activities both upstream and downstream. The company operates in two segments; the Cement Production Segment produces and markets cement products in Indonesia, and Vietnam, as well as various export destination countries, including Bangladesh, Australia, the Philippines, Taiwan, China, and several other countries, and The non-cement production segment, consists of mining limestone and clay, manufacturing packaging bags, developing industrial estates, finished and ready-to-use concrete, information system services, logistics, and trading. It generates a majority of its revenue from the cement production segment.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PSGTY

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2.00
Price
$3.75
GF Value