PVGDF (Provenance Gold) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $-0.04 (As of Jul. 31, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

PVGDF Provenance Gold Corp PVGDF
33 GF Score
Price $0.11
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Provenance Gold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Provenance Gold PVGDF -0.80% 33 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.04 as of Jul. 31, 2026. GuruFocus rates PVGDF with a GF Score™ of 33/100. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 643 Metals & Mining companies, Provenance Gold ranks worse than 155520.84% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-31), Provenance Gold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.04. The stock price of Provenance Gold is $0.11108. Therefore, Provenance Gold's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Provenance Gold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PVGDF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 2.09
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Provenance Gold  (OTCPK:PVGDF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Provenance Gold's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.11108/-0.04788518047856
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Provenance Gold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Provenance Gold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Provenance Gold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Provenance Gold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Provenance Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.03 -0.04

Provenance Gold Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04

PVGDF vs HL: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Provenance Gold's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Provenance Gold Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Provenance Gold's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Provenance Gold's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


PVGDF
33GF Score
Provenance Gold Corp PVGDF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Provenance Gold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Provenance Gold's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-1.64.

Provenance Gold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-1.64144+9.19*0.8)/172.811
=-0.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-0.04 mean?
Provenance Gold (PVGDF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-0.04 as of Jul. 31, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Provenance Gold and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Provenance Gold ranks #999999 out of 643 companies in the Metals & Mining industry.
Is Provenance Gold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Provenance Gold's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.04. Based on the distribution chart, Provenance Gold ranks #999999 out of 643 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Provenance Gold has a GF Score™ of 33/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Provenance Gold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to HL?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Provenance Gold ranks #999999 out of 643 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Provenance Gold in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.09. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.09, based on 643 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Provenance Gold and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.09 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Provenance Gold's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Provenance Gold stock overvalued right now?
Provenance Gold (PVGDF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-0.04. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.04. Provenance Gold's overall GF Score™ is 33/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Provenance Gold (PVGDF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.04 as of Jul. 31, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Provenance Gold Business Description

Other Exchanges 3PG:GermanyPAU:Canada
Address 885 West Georgia Street, Suite 2200, HSBC Building, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3E8
Provenance Gold Corp is a junior exploration company, that engages in the identification, acquisition, and exploration of mineral interests in Canada. The company explores gold and other precious materials. The company holds an interest in White Rock, Eldorado, and Silver Bow. It has a single industry segment being the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral properties.
33GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PVGDF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.11
Price