SFD (Smithfield Foods) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $26.03 (As of Sep. 05, 2026)

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SFD Smithfield Foods Inc SFD
30 GF Score
Price $21.97
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Smithfield Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Smithfield Foods SFD -0.27% 30 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $26.03 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates SFD with a GF Score™ of 30/100. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,322 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Smithfield Foods ranks better than 59.15% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-05), Smithfield Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $26.03. The stock price of Smithfield Foods is $21.97. Therefore, Smithfield Foods's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Smithfield Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SFD' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.84   Med: 1.03   Max: 1.11
Current: 0.84

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Smithfield Foods was 1.11. The lowest was 0.84. And the median was 1.03.

SFD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
59.15% of 1322 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.02 vs SFD: 0.84

Smithfield Foods  (NAS:SFD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Smithfield Foods's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=21.97/26.025040459454
=0.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Smithfield Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Smithfield Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Smithfield Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Smithfield Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Smithfield Foods Annual Data
Trend Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.54 20.22 22.42 22.36 26.41

Smithfield Foods Quarterly Data
Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec22 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.20 21.18 26.41 25.21 26.03

SFD vs CAG, LW, PPC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Smithfield Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Smithfield Foods Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Smithfield Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Smithfield Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


SFD
30GF Score
Smithfield Foods Inc SFD
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Smithfield Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Smithfield Foods's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $493.34.

Smithfield Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*493.344+7004*0.8)/395.773
=26.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $26.03 mean?
Smithfield Foods (SFD) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $26.03 as of Sep. 05, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Smithfield Foods and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Smithfield Foods ranks #540 out of 1322 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 40.8%.
Is Smithfield Foods' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Smithfield Foods' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $26.03. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.02. Smithfield Foods' value of $26.03 is 2452% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Smithfield Foods ranks #540 out of 1322 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Smithfield Foods has a GF Score™ of 30/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Smithfield Foods' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to CAG and LW?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Smithfield Foods ranks #540 out of 1322 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Smithfield Foods in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.02. Smithfield Foods' value of $26.03 is 2452% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 1.02, based on 1,322 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Smithfield Foods's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $26.03 is 2452% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Smithfield Foods and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.02 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Smithfield Foods's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $26.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Smithfield Foods stock overvalued right now?
Smithfield Foods (SFD) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $26.03. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $26.03 and 2452% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 1.02. Smithfield Foods' overall GF Score™ is 30/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Smithfield Foods (SFD), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $26.03 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Smithfield Foods Business Description

Other Exchanges 4IT:Germany
Address 200 Commerce Street, Smithfield, VA, USA, 23430
Smithfield Foods Inc is a hog producer and pork processor based in the United States of America. The company conducts its operations through three reportable segments: Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, and Hog Production. The company generates the maximum of its revenue from the Packaged Meats segment. The Packaged Meats segment consists of the company's U.S. operations that process fresh meat into a wide variety of packaged meats products, including bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli and lunch meats, dry sausage products (such as pepperoni and genoa), ham products, ready-to-eat products and prepared foods (such as pre-cooked entrees, bacon and sausage).
30GF Score

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Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$21.97
Price