Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Silicon Motion Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
SIMO'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.08 Med: 2.34 Max: 8.45
Current: 6.15
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Silicon Motion Technology was 8.45. The lowest was 1.08. And the median was 2.34.
SIMO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 76.33% of 600
companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 2.605
vs SIMO: 6.15
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Silicon Motion Technology's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
242.51
/
39.428761855499
=
6.15
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Silicon Motion Technology Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Silicon Motion Technology Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Silicon Motion Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
SIMO vs QRVO, RMBS, SLAB: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Semiconductors subindustry, Silicon Motion Technology's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Silicon Motion Technology Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Semiconductors Industry
For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Silicon Motion Technology's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Silicon Motion Technology's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $39.43 mean?
Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $39.43 as of Sep. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Silicon Motion Technology and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Silicon Motion Technology ranks #458 out of 600 companies in the Semiconductors industry, placing it in the top 76.3%.
Is Silicon Motion Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Silicon Motion Technology's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $39.43. The Semiconductors industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.61. Silicon Motion Technology's value of $39.43 is 1413.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Silicon Motion Technology ranks #458 out of 600 companies in the Semiconductors industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Silicon Motion Technology has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Silicon Motion Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to QRVO and RMBS?
According to the Semiconductors industry distribution chart, Silicon Motion Technology ranks #458 out of 600 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Silicon Motion Technology in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.61. Silicon Motion Technology's value of $39.43 is 1413.6% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Semiconductors company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Semiconductors companies is 2.61, based on 600 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Silicon Motion Technology's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $39.43 is 1413.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Silicon Motion Technology and its competitors. For the Semiconductors industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.61 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Silicon Motion Technology's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $39.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Silicon Motion Technology stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $148.36, compared to a current price of $242.51 — trading 63.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $39.43 and 1413.6% above the Semiconductors industry median of 2.61. Silicon Motion Technology's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $39.43 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Silicon Motion Technology stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $242.51 is trading 63.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $148.36.
GuruFocus considers Silicon Motion Technology to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for SIMO:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $39.43
GF Value™: $148.36 vs. price of $242.51 (63.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 1413.6% above the Semiconductors median (#458 of 600)
No single metric tells the full story. See the SIMO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Silicon Motion Technology Corp is engaged in developing NAND flash controllers for SSDs and other solid-state storage devices. Its only operating segment is to develop NAND flash controllers and SSD solutions. The company derives revenue from product categories such as Mobile Storage, Mobile Communications, and others. Silicon's geographical segments are Taiwan, the United States, Korea, China, Singapore, Malaysia, and others. The company's products are used in Personal Computing, Smartphone/Tablet/CE, Flash Card/USB Flash Drive, Industrial and Embedded, Automotive, and Enterprise and Data centers.
83GF Score
Get the complete analysis for SIMO
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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