SMFSY (Sumitomo Forestry Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $13.77 (As of Sep. 13, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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SMFSY Sumitomo Forestry Co Ltd SMFSY
71 GF Score
Price $8.49
GF Value $14.34
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Sumitomo Forestry Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Sumitomo Forestry Co SMFSY 71 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.77 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates SMFSY with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of $14.34. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 68 Homebuilding & Construction companies, Sumitomo Forestry Co ranks better than 50% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-13), Sumitomo Forestry Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.77. The stock price of Sumitomo Forestry Co is $8.49. Therefore, Sumitomo Forestry Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sumitomo Forestry Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SMFSY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.33   Med: 0.56   Max: 0.99
Current: 0.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Sumitomo Forestry Co was 0.99. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 0.56.

SMFSY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
50% of 68 companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.67 vs SMFSY: 0.62

Sumitomo Forestry Co  (OTCPK:SMFSY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Sumitomo Forestry Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.49/12.297122167525
=0.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sumitomo Forestry Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Sumitomo Forestry Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Sumitomo Forestry Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Sumitomo Forestry Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Sumitomo Forestry Co Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Sumitomo Forestry Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

SMFSY vs DHI, PHM, LEN: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Sumitomo Forestry Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sumitomo Forestry Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Sumitomo Forestry Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sumitomo Forestry Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


SMFSY
71GF Score
Sumitomo Forestry Co Ltd SMFSY
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Sumitomo Forestry Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Sumitomo Forestry Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $222.85.

Sumitomo Forestry Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.696602726433*222.84957142857+6439.56*0.8)/612.776
=12.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $13.77 mean?
Sumitomo Forestry Co (SMFSY) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $13.77 as of Sep. 13, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Sumitomo Forestry Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Sumitomo Forestry Co ranks #34 out of 68 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, placing it in the top 50%.
Is Sumitomo Forestry Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Sumitomo Forestry Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.77. The Homebuilding & Construction industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.67. Sumitomo Forestry Co's value of $13.77 is 1955.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Sumitomo Forestry Co ranks #34 out of 68 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Sumitomo Forestry Co has a GF Score™ of 71/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sumitomo Forestry Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to DHI and PHM?
According to the Homebuilding & Construction industry distribution chart, Sumitomo Forestry Co ranks #34 out of 68 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Sumitomo Forestry Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.67. Sumitomo Forestry Co's value of $13.77 is 1955.2% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Homebuilding & Construction company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Homebuilding & Construction companies is 0.67, based on 68 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Sumitomo Forestry Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $13.77 is 1955.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Sumitomo Forestry Co and its competitors. For the Homebuilding & Construction industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.67 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Sumitomo Forestry Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sumitomo Forestry Co stock overvalued right now?
Sumitomo Forestry Co (SMFSY) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $13.77. The stock's GF Value™ is $14.34, compared to a current price of $8.49 — trading 40.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.77 and 1955.2% above the Homebuilding & Construction industry median of 0.67. Sumitomo Forestry Co's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sumitomo Forestry Co (SMFSY), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.77 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sumitomo Forestry Co (SMFSY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sumitomo Forestry Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $8.49 is trading 40.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $14.34.

Key valuation signals for SMFSY:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $13.77
  • GF Value™: $14.34 vs. price of $8.49 (40.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1955.2% above the Homebuilding & Construction median (#34 of 68)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SMFSY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Sumitomo Forestry Co Business Description

Address 1-3-2 Otemachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-8270
Website https://sfc.jp
Sumitomo Forestry Co Ltd is a Japan-based company engaged in the timber, housing, and environmental businesses. The company operates through four reportable segments: Timber Building Materials Business, Housing Business, Construction and Real Estate Business, and Resources and Environment Business. The Timber Building Materials Business purchases, manufactures, and sells timber and building materials. The Housing Business handles housing construction, renovation, and real estate brokerage. The Construction and Real Estate Business develops condominiums, apartment buildings, and commercial complexes. The Resources and Environment Business focuses on renewable energy and forestry resource operations. It generates the majority of revenue from the Construction and real estate business segment.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SMFSY

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$8.49
Price
$14.34
GF Value