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SantosSTOSF 73 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.00 as of Aug. 07, 2026, which is 1279% above its 10-year median of 0.58. GuruFocus rates STOSF with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $4.67 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 614 Oil & Gas companies, Santos ranks better than 62.05% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-07), Santos's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.00. The stock price of Santos is $5.7645. Therefore, Santos's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.
The historical rank and industry rank for Santos's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
STOSF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.51 Med: 0.58 Max: 3.24
Current: 0.72
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Santos was 3.24. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 0.58.
STOSF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 62.05% of 614
companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.845
vs STOSF: 0.72
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Santos's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
5.7645
/
7.6818712161159
=
0.75
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Santos Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Santos Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Santos's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
STOSF vs COP, EOG, FANG: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Santos's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Santos Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Santos's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Santos's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $8.00 mean?
Santos (STOSF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $8.00 as of Aug. 07, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Santos and its competitors. This is 1279% above median its historical median of 0.58. Over the past decade, Santos' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.51 to 3.24. According to the industry distribution chart, Santos ranks #233 out of 614 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 37.9%.
Is Santos' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Santos' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $8.00 is 1279% above median its 10-year median of 0.58. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.51 to a high of 3.24. The Oil & Gas industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.85. Santos' value of $8.00 is 846.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Santos ranks #233 out of 614 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Santos has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Santos' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to COP and EOG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Santos ranks #233 out of 614 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Santos in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.85. Santos' value of $8.00 is 846.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Santos' own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.51 to 3.24 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.58 vs. the industry median of 0.85, Santos has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Oil & Gas companies is 0.85, based on 614 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Santos's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $8.00 is 846.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Santos and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.85 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Santos's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.00, which is 1279% above median its own 10-year median of 0.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Santos stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Santos (STOSF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $4.67, compared to a current price of $5.76 — trading 23.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.00, which is 1279% above median its 10-year median of 0.58 and 846.7% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 0.85. Santos' overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Santos (STOSF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.00 as of Aug. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Santos (STOSF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Santos stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $5.76 is trading 23.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $4.67.
GuruFocus considers Santos to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for STOSF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $8.00 (1279% above median its 10-year median of 0.58)
GF Value™: $4.67 vs. price of $5.76 (23.4% above fair value)
Industry Position: 846.7% above the Oil & Gas median (#233 of 614)
No single metric tells the full story. See the STOSF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Santos was founded in 1954. The company's name is an acronym for South Australia Northern Territory Oil Search. The first Cooper Basin gas discovery came in 1963, with initial supplies in 1969. Santos became a major enterprise, though over-reliance on the Cooper Basin, along with the Moomba field's inexorable decline, saw it struggle to maintain relevance in the first decade of the 21st century. However, the stage was set for a renaissance via conversion of coal seam gas into LNG in Queensland and conventional gas to LNG in PNG.
73GF Score
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