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Frontier Developments (STU:5FD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €4.56 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Frontier Developments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-21), Frontier Developments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €4.56. The stock price of Frontier Developments is €3.34. Therefore, Frontier Developments's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Frontier Developments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

STU:5FD' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.71   Med: 5.47   Max: 17.76
Current: 0.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Frontier Developments was 17.76. The lowest was 0.71. And the median was 5.47.

STU:5FD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
70.46% of 281 companies
in the Interactive Media industry
Industry Median: 1.23 vs STU:5FD: 0.73

Frontier Developments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Frontier Developments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Frontier Developments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Frontier Developments Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 4.40 4.38 4.62

Frontier Developments Semi-Annual Data
May14 Nov14 May15 Nov15 May16 Nov16 May17 Nov17 May18 Nov18 May19 Nov19 May20 Nov20 May21 Nov21 May22 Nov22 May23 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 4.38 - 4.62 -

Competitive Comparison of Frontier Developments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Frontier Developments's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Frontier Developments's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Frontier Developments's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Frontier Developments's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Frontier Developments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Frontier Developments's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €5.77.

Frontier Developments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (May23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*5.7704285714286+110.225*0.8)/39.026
=4.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Frontier Developments  (STU:5FD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Frontier Developments's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.34/4.4571280507868
=0.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Frontier Developments Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Frontier Developments's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Frontier Developments (STU:5FD) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Milton Road, 26 Science Park, Cambridge, GBR, CB4 0FP
Frontier Developments PLC develops video games for the interactive entertainment sector. It develops games using its Cobra proprietary cross-platform technology along with industry-standard software packages, allowing code and resources developed on PC to be compiled. Its games include RollerCoaster Tycoon 3, LostWinds, Kinectimals, Kinect Disneyland Adventures and Coaster Crazy games. It has only one reportable segment: Self-Published Work. Business operations are based in the UK and its North American subsidiary, Frontier Developments Inc. in the US. The company has one operating segment, being revenue from publishing games and revenue from other streams such as royalties and licensing.

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