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Shandong Airlines Co (SZSE:200152) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$0.00 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Shandong Airlines Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-21), Shandong Airlines Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$0.00. The stock price of Shandong Airlines Co is HK$2.73. Therefore, Shandong Airlines Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shandong Airlines Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:200152's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Transportation industry.
Industry Median: 0.83
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Shandong Airlines Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shandong Airlines Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shandong Airlines Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Shandong Airlines Co Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.26 1.98 -13.00 -23.05 -66.07

Shandong Airlines Co Quarterly Data
Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -30.77 -39.28 -43.24 -66.07 -57.98

Competitive Comparison of Shandong Airlines Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Airports & Air Services subindustry, Shandong Airlines Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shandong Airlines Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Shandong Airlines Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shandong Airlines Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Shandong Airlines Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Shandong Airlines Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-1,190.54.

Shandong Airlines Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-1190.54336+-9450.245/0.8)/399.215
=-57.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shandong Airlines Co  (SZSE:200152) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Shandong Airlines Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.73/-57.981783318366
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shandong Airlines Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Shandong Airlines Co (SZSE:200152) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5746 - East 2nd Ring Road, Shandong Airlines Centre, Shandong, Jinan, CHN, 250014
Shandong Airlines Co Ltd is mainly engaged in providing passenger and cargo air transport services. The company provides services such as Air Transport Services, Logistics & Freight Forwarding Services, Hotel and Catering Services, as well as Training Services. The business activity of the group is operated through Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and overseas markets. The group derives revenue from the rendering of air services for the carriage of passengers and through royalty.

Shandong Airlines Co (SZSE:200152) Headlines

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