TMICF (Trend Micro) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $28.03 (As of Sep. 16, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TMICF Trend Micro Inc TMICF
90 GF Score
Price $38.80
GF Value $51.89
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Trend Micro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Trend Micro TMICF +12.93% 90 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $28.03 as of Sep. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates TMICF with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of $51.89 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 1,474 Software companies, Trend Micro ranks worse than 52.92% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-16), Trend Micro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $28.03. The stock price of Trend Micro is $38.80. Therefore, Trend Micro's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Trend Micro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TMICF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.16   Med: 1.69   Max: 2.48
Current: 1.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Trend Micro was 2.48. The lowest was 1.16. And the median was 1.69.

TMICF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
52.92% of 1474 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.41 vs TMICF: 1.38

Trend Micro  (OTCPK:TMICF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Trend Micro's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=38.80/34.519685032668
=1.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Trend Micro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Trend Micro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Trend Micro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Trend Micro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Trend Micro Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.02 41.31 39.11 34.55 35.23

Trend Micro Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.54 35.19 34.74 35.36 34.53

TMICF vs MSFT, PLTR, ORCL: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Trend Micro's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Trend Micro Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Trend Micro's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Trend Micro's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


TMICF
90GF Score
Trend Micro Inc TMICF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Trend Micro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Trend Micro's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $409.09.

Trend Micro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*409.0898096+732.13967081987*0.8)/129.792336
=34.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $28.03 mean?
Trend Micro (TMICF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $28.03 as of Sep. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Trend Micro and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Trend Micro ranks #780 out of 1474 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 52.9%.
Is Trend Micro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Trend Micro's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $28.03. The Software industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.41. Trend Micro's value of $28.03 is 1887.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Trend Micro ranks #780 out of 1474 companies in the Software industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Trend Micro has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Trend Micro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MSFT and PLTR?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Trend Micro ranks #780 out of 1474 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Trend Micro in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.41. Trend Micro's value of $28.03 is 1887.9% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Software companies is 1.41, based on 1,474 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Trend Micro's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $28.03 is 1887.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Trend Micro and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.41 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Trend Micro's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $28.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Trend Micro stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trend Micro (TMICF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $51.89, compared to a current price of $38.80 — trading 25.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $28.03 and 1887.9% above the Software industry median of 1.41. Trend Micro's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Trend Micro (TMICF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $28.03 as of Sep. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Trend Micro (TMICF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trend Micro stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $38.80 is trading 25.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $51.89. GuruFocus considers Trend Micro to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TMICF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $28.03
  • GF Value™: $51.89 vs. price of $38.80 (25.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 1887.9% above the Software median (#780 of 1474)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TMICF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Trend Micro Business Description

Address 4-1-6 Shinjuku, JR Shinjuku Miraina Tower, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 160-0022
Trend Micro Inc provides antivirus and other security products that protect the flow of information on PCs, file servers, e-mail servers, and the Internet gateway. The company operates through four geographic segments: Japan, North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TMICF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$38.80
Price
$51.89
GF Value