Tosoh (TOSCF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $16.37 (As of Aug. 09, 2026) — 1489% Above Median

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TOSCF Tosoh Corp TOSCF
70 GF Score
Price $16.00
GF Value $12.44
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Tosoh Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Tosoh TOSCF 70 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.37 as of Aug. 09, 2026, which is 1489% above its 10-year median of 1.03. GuruFocus rates TOSCF with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $12.44. The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 968 Chemicals companies, Tosoh ranks better than 62.29% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-09), Tosoh's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.37. The stock price of Tosoh is $16.00. Therefore, Tosoh's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tosoh's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TOSCF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.83   Med: 1.03   Max: 1.75
Current: 0.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Tosoh was 1.75. The lowest was 0.83. And the median was 1.03.

TOSCF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
62.29% of 968 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.335 vs TOSCF: 0.98

Tosoh  (OTCPK:TOSCF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Tosoh's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=16.00/17.546085910713
=0.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tosoh Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Tosoh Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tosoh's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tosoh Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Tosoh Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.05 12.24 13.08 15.85 20.46

Tosoh Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.85 15.51 18.39 17.13 20.46

TOSCF vs DOW: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Chemicals subindustry, Tosoh's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tosoh Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Tosoh's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tosoh's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


TOSCF
70GF Score
Tosoh Corp TOSCF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tosoh Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Tosoh's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $138.89.

Tosoh's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*138.89264+5241.851*0.8)/314.360
=17.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $16.37 mean?
Tosoh (TOSCF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $16.37 as of Aug. 09, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Tosoh and its competitors. This is 1489% above median its historical median of 1.03. Over the past decade, Tosoh's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.83 to 1.75. According to the industry distribution chart, Tosoh ranks #365 out of 968 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 37.7%.
Is Tosoh's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Tosoh's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $16.37 is 1489% above median its 10-year median of 1.03. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.83 to a high of 1.75. The Chemicals industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.34. Tosoh's value of $16.37 is 1126.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tosoh ranks #365 out of 968 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Tosoh has a GF Score™ of 70/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tosoh's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to DOW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Tosoh ranks #365 out of 968 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Tosoh in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.34. Tosoh's value of $16.37 is 1126.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Tosoh's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.83 to 1.75 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.03 vs. the industry median of 1.34, Tosoh has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Chemicals company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Chemicals companies is 1.34, based on 968 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tosoh's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $16.37 is 1126.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Tosoh and its competitors. For the Chemicals industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tosoh's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.37, which is 1489% above median its own 10-year median of 1.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tosoh stock overvalued right now?
Tosoh (TOSCF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $16.37. The stock's GF Value™ is $12.44, compared to a current price of $16.00 — trading 28.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.37, which is 1489% above median its 10-year median of 1.03 and 1126.2% above the Chemicals industry median of 1.34. Tosoh's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tosoh (TOSCF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.37 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tosoh (TOSCF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tosoh stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $16.00 is trading 28.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $12.44.

Key valuation signals for TOSCF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $16.37 (1489% above median its 10-year median of 1.03)
  • GF Value™: $12.44 vs. price of $16.00 (28.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 9 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1126.2% above the Chemicals median (#365 of 968)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TOSCF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tosoh Business Description

Address 4560 Kaiseicho, Yamaguchi Prefecture, Shunan, JPN, 746-8501
Tosoh Corp manufactures and sells a variety of petrochemicals, plastics, and chemical-based products. The firm organizes itself into five segments. The Chlor-alkali segment produces caustic soda and vinyl chloride monomer. The Engineering segment handles manufacturing, sales, construction, repair, and water treatment equipment. The Functional Products segment covers inorganic and organic fine chemicals, diagnostic and metrology products, and electronic materials such as fused silica and sputtering targets. The Petrochemical segment includes olefins like ethylene and propylene, polyethylene products, and resins. The Others segment comprises transportation, warehousing, inspection, analysis, and information processing services. It generates majority of its revenue from Chlor-alkali segment.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TOSCF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$16.00
Price
$12.44
GF Value