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Ray (TSE:4317) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円933.38 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Ray Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-15), Ray's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円933.38. The stock price of Ray is 円419.00. Therefore, Ray's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ray's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4317' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.37   Med: 1.5   Max: 9.02
Current: 0.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ray was 9.02. The lowest was 0.37. And the median was 1.50.

TSE:4317's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.44% of 603 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs TSE:4317: 0.45

Ray Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ray's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ray Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ray Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 670.97 848.25 847.98 914.82 933.38

Ray Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 933.38 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Ray's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Entertainment subindustry, Ray's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ray's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Ray's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ray's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ray Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ray's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円896.83.

Ray's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*896.82557142857+6045.371*0.8)/14.329
=933.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ray  (TSE:4317) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ray's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=419.00/933.37927002946
=0.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ray Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Ray (TSE:4317) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6-15-21 Roppongi, Hakus Roppongi Building, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 106-0032
Ray Corp is engaged in communication design, events, creative design, and show and visual technical businesses in Japan. It is involved in the planning and production of various promotions, events, exhibitions, expositions, showrooms, printed materials, designs, premium products, and digital promotion of the Web. The company is also engaged in the rental and operation of large video equipment in the MICE and concerts.; live broadcasting, shooting, and network distribution activities; and video equipment sale and operational support to showrooms, hotel and conference facilities among other services.

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