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Yoshinoya Holdings Co (TSE:9861) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円1,474.51 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Yoshinoya Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-30), Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円1,474.51. The stock price of Yoshinoya Holdings Co is 円2885.50. Therefore, Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9861' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.32   Med: 2.2   Max: 4.65
Current: 1.96

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Yoshinoya Holdings Co was 4.65. The lowest was 1.32. And the median was 2.20.

TSE:9861's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
60.09% of 218 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.46 vs TSE:9861: 1.96

Yoshinoya Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Yoshinoya Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 660.13 451.11 859.04 1,146.23 1,474.51

Yoshinoya Holdings Co Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,146.23 - - - 1,474.51

Competitive Comparison of Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Yoshinoya Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円4,373.86.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.770154119158*4373.8571428571+60360*0.8)/64.696
=1,474.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Yoshinoya Holdings Co  (TSE:9861) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2885.50/1474.5133474056
=1.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Yoshinoya Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Yoshinoya Holdings Co (TSE:9861) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
36-2 Nihonbashihakozakicho, 18th Floor Daiwa Rivergate, (Reception on 18th Floor, North Wing), Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-0015
Yoshinoya Holdings Co Ltd owns, operates, and franchises thousands of restaurants primarily in Japan. The company has five business segments: Yoshinoya, a restaurant brand that serves gyudon and other fast food and accounts for roughly half of the company's sales; Hanamaru, a self-service sanuki udon restaurant brand; Arcmeal, which operates Steak-no-Don, Shabu Shabu Don-tei, Steak House Volks, and Don Italiano restaurants; Kyotaru, which operates takeout sushi and rotary sushi restaurants called Sushi Misaki Maru, Kaisen Misakiko, and Kyotaru; and Overseas, which operates primarily Yoshinoya restaurants in China, the United States, Thailand, and Malaysia. The company has roughly 2,000 stores in Japan and nearly 700 outside Japan.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co (TSE:9861) Headlines

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