Vinci (VCISF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $227.97 (As of Aug. 14, 2026) — 23162% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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VCISF Vinci SA VCISF
77 GF Score
Price $144.00
GF Value $147.00
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vinci Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Vinci VCISF 77 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $227.97 as of Aug. 14, 2026, which is 23162% above its 10-year median of 0.98. GuruFocus rates VCISF with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of $147.00 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,216 Construction companies, Vinci ranks better than 69.74% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-14), Vinci's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $227.97. The stock price of Vinci is $144.00. Therefore, Vinci's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vinci's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

VCISF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.6   Med: 0.98   Max: 1.31
Current: 0.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Vinci was 1.31. The lowest was 0.60. And the median was 0.98.

VCISF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
69.74% of 1216 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.96 vs VCISF: 0.63

Vinci  (OTCPK:VCISF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Vinci's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=144.00/214.20935103355
=0.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vinci Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Vinci Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vinci's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vinci Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Vinci Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 104.60 124.00 155.08 168.14 227.00

Vinci Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 168.14 0.00 227.00 0.00

VCISF vs PWR, FIX, EME: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Vinci's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vinci Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Vinci's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vinci's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


VCISF
77GF Score
Vinci SA VCISF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vinci Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Vinci's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $6,957.01.

Vinci's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.319242326454*6957.0068571429+36009.368*0.8)/567.060
=214.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $227.97 mean?
Vinci (VCISF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $227.97 as of Aug. 14, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Vinci and its competitors. This is 23162% above median its historical median of 0.98. Over the past decade, Vinci's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.60 to 1.31. According to the industry distribution chart, Vinci ranks #368 out of 1216 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 30.3%.
Is Vinci's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Vinci's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $227.97 is 23162% above median its 10-year median of 0.98. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.60 to a high of 1.31. The Construction industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.96. Vinci's value of $227.97 is 23646.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Vinci ranks #368 out of 1216 companies in the Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Vinci has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vinci's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Vinci ranks #368 out of 1216 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Vinci in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.96. Vinci's value of $227.97 is 23646.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Vinci's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.60 to 1.31 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.98 vs. the industry median of 0.96, Vinci has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Construction company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Construction companies is 0.96, based on 1,216 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Vinci's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $227.97 is 23646.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Vinci and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.96 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Vinci's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $227.97, which is 23162% above median its own 10-year median of 0.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vinci stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vinci (VCISF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $147.00, compared to a current price of $144.00 — trading 2% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $227.97, which is 23162% above median its 10-year median of 0.98 and 23646.9% above the Construction industry median of 0.96. Vinci's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vinci (VCISF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $227.97 as of Aug. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vinci (VCISF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vinci stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $144.00 is trading 2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $147.00. GuruFocus considers Vinci to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for VCISF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $227.97 (23162% above median its 10-year median of 0.98)
  • GF Value™: $147.00 vs. price of $144.00 (2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 23646.9% above the Construction median (#368 of 1216)

No single metric tells the full story. See the VCISF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vinci Business Description

Address 1973, Boulevard de la Defense, Nanterre, Paris, FRA, 92000
Vinci is one of the world's largest owners of transport infrastructure. Its concession assets include 4,400 kilometers of toll roads in France and 72 airports across 14 countries, making Vinci the world's largest airport operator in terms of managed passenger numbers. The concession's business contributes less than one fifth of group revenue but the majority of operating profit. Vinci's contracting business provides a broad variety of energy and and construction services. France contributes 41% of group revenue.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for VCISF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$144.00
Price
$147.00
GF Value