VLOUF (Vallourec) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $17.87 (As of Aug. 26, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

VLOUF Vallourec SA VLOUF
75 GF Score
Price $20.11
GF Value $16.47
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vallourec Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Vallourec VLOUF 75 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $17.87 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates VLOUF with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $16.47 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 449 Steel companies, Vallourec ranks worse than 70.82% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-26), Vallourec's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $17.87. The stock price of Vallourec is $20.11. Therefore, Vallourec's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vallourec's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

VLOUF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.56   Med: 1.7   Max: 66.96
Current: 1.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Vallourec was 66.96. The lowest was 0.56. And the median was 1.70.

VLOUF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
70.82% of 449 companies
in the Steel industry
Industry Median: 0.74 vs VLOUF: 1.13

Vallourec  (OTCPK:VLOUF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Vallourec's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=20.11/16.976609522646
=1.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vallourec Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Vallourec Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vallourec's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vallourec Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Vallourec Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.97 -4.79 3.23 9.92 12.76

Vallourec Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.10 12.00 12.76 14.26 17.72

VLOUF vs NUE, STLD, RS: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Vallourec's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vallourec Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Vallourec's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vallourec's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


VLOUF
75GF Score
Vallourec SA VLOUF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vallourec Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Vallourec's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $170.86.

Vallourec's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*170.85936+3271.889*0.8)/250.000
=16.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $17.87 mean?
Vallourec (VLOUF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $17.87 as of Aug. 26, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Vallourec and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Vallourec ranks #318 out of 449 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 70.8%.
Is Vallourec's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Vallourec's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $17.87. The Steel industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.74. Vallourec's value of $17.87 is 2314.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Vallourec ranks #318 out of 449 companies in the Steel industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Vallourec has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vallourec's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Vallourec ranks #318 out of 449 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Vallourec in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.74. Vallourec's value of $17.87 is 2314.9% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Steel company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Steel companies is 0.74, based on 449 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Vallourec's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $17.87 is 2314.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Vallourec and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.74 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Vallourec's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $17.87. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vallourec stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vallourec (VLOUF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $16.47, compared to a current price of $20.11 — trading 22.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $17.87 and 2314.9% above the Steel industry median of 0.74. Vallourec's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vallourec (VLOUF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $17.87 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vallourec (VLOUF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vallourec stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $20.11 is trading 22.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $16.47. GuruFocus considers Vallourec to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for VLOUF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $17.87
  • GF Value™: $16.47 vs. price of $20.11 (22.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 2314.9% above the Steel median (#318 of 449)

No single metric tells the full story. See the VLOUF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vallourec Business Description

Address 12 Rue de la Verrerie, Meudon, FRA, 92190
Vallourec SA is a world leader in premium tubular solutions for the energy markets and for demanding industrial applications such as oil & gas wells in harsh environments, new generation power plants, challenging architectural projects, and high-performance mechanical equipment. Its pioneering spirit and cutting-edge R&D open new technological frontiers. With close to around 13,000 dedicated and passionate employees in more than 20 countries, it works hand- in-hand with its customers to offer more than just tubes: Vallourec delivers safe, competitive, and smart tubular solutions to make every project possible.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for VLOUF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$20.11
Price
$16.47
GF Value