XunleiXNET +2.66%68 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.19 as of Jul. 06, 2026, which is 1944% above its 10-year median of 0.89. GuruFocus rates XNET with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.25 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,453 Software companies, Xunlei ranks better than 94.77% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-07-06), Xunlei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.19. The stock price of Xunlei is $5.80. Therefore, Xunlei's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.
The historical rank and industry rank for Xunlei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
XNET'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31 Med: 0.89 Max: 7.05
Current: 0.32
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Xunlei was 7.05. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 0.89.
XNET's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 94.77% of 1453
companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.37
vs XNET: 0.32
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Xunlei's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
5.80
/
18.185233872298
=
0.32
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Xunlei Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Xunlei Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Xunlei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
XNET vs TLS, SUPX, BKKT: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Xunlei's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Xunlei Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Software Industry
For the Software industry and Technology sector, Xunlei's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Xunlei's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.19 mean?
Xunlei (XNET) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.19 as of Jul. 06, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Xunlei and its competitors. This is 1944% above median its historical median of 0.89. Over the past decade, Xunlei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.31 to 7.05. According to the industry distribution chart, Xunlei ranks #76 out of 1453 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 5.2%.
Is Xunlei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Xunlei's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.19 is 1944% above median its 10-year median of 0.89. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.31 to a high of 7.05. The Software industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.37. Xunlei's value of $18.19 is 1227.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Xunlei ranks #76 out of 1453 companies in the Software industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Xunlei has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Xunlei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to TLS and SUPX?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Xunlei ranks #76 out of 1453 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Xunlei in the top 5% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.37. Xunlei's value of $18.19 is 1227.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Xunlei's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.31 to 7.05 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.89 vs. the industry median of 1.37, Xunlei has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Software companies is 1.37, based on 1,453 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Xunlei's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.19 is 1227.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Xunlei and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.37 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Xunlei's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.19, which is 1944% above median its own 10-year median of 0.89. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Xunlei stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Xunlei (XNET) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.25, compared to a current price of $5.80 — trading 78.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.19, which is 1944% above median its 10-year median of 0.89 and 1227.7% above the Software industry median of 1.37. Xunlei's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Xunlei (XNET), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.19 as of Jul. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Xunlei (XNET) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Xunlei stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $5.80 is trading 78.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.25.
GuruFocus considers Xunlei to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for XNET:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $18.19 (1944% above median its 10-year median of 0.89)
GF Value™: $3.25 vs. price of $5.80 (78.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 1227.7% above the Software median (#76 of 1453)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XNET stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Xunlei Ltd is a technology company providing distributed cloud services in China. It operates a powerful internet platform in China based on cloud technology to enable its users to quickly access, store, manage and consume digital media content on the internet. The company has expanded its products and services from PC-based devices to mobile devices in part through pre-installed acceleration products in mobile phones to further enlarge its user base and offer its users a wider range of access points. It provides a wide range of products and services across cloud acceleration and digital entertainment to deliver an efficient, smart and safe internet environment to its users.
68GF Score
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Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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