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Avolta AGXSWX:AVOL +0.20%74 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF102.63 as of Aug. 11, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.66. GuruFocus rates XSWX:AVOL with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF42.03 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 765 Retail - Cyclical companies, Avolta AG ranks better than 70.46% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-11), Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF102.63. The stock price of Avolta AG is CHF49.68. Therefore, Avolta AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.
The historical rank and industry rank for Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
XSWX:AVOL'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.21 Med: 0.66 Max: 1.77
Current: 0.48
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Avolta AG was 1.77. The lowest was 0.21. And the median was 0.66.
XSWX:AVOL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 70.46% of 765
companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.8
vs XSWX:AVOL: 0.48
Avolta AG (XSWX:AVOL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Avolta AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
49.68
/
102.62615172491
=
0.48
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Avolta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Avolta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
XSWX:AVOL vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Avolta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Avolta AG Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Avolta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Avolta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Avolta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF102.63 mean?
Avolta AG (XSWX:AVOL) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF102.63 as of Aug. 11, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Avolta AG and its competitors. This is 15450% above median its historical median of 0.66. Over the past decade, Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.21 to 1.77. According to the industry distribution chart, Avolta AG ranks #226 out of 765 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 29.5%.
Is Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Avolta AG's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF102.63 is 15450% above median its 10-year median of 0.66. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.21 to a high of 1.77. Based on the distribution chart, Avolta AG ranks #226 out of 765 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Avolta AG has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to CASY and WSM?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Avolta AG ranks #226 out of 765 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Avolta AG in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.80. Historically, Avolta AG's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.21 to 1.77 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.80, based on 765 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Avolta AG and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.80 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Avolta AG's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF102.63, which is 15450% above median its own 10-year median of 0.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Avolta AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avolta AG (XSWX:AVOL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF42.03, compared to a current price of CHF49.68 — trading 18.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF102.63, which is 15450% above median its 10-year median of 0.66. Avolta AG's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Avolta AG (XSWX:AVOL), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF102.63 as of Aug. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Avolta AG (XSWX:AVOL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avolta AG stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of CHF49.68 is trading 18.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF42.03.
GuruFocus considers Avolta AG to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for XSWX:AVOL:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF102.63 (15450% above median its 10-year median of 0.66)
GF Value™: CHF42.03 vs. price of CHF49.68 (18.2% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:AVOL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Avolta is the world's largest duty-free shop operator and leader in travel retail. Airports make up over 80% of the company's total revenue. Following the acquisition of Autogrill in 2023, Avolta now offers a full range of services across travel hubs, including duty-paid and duty-free retail, convenience, and food and beverage operations. The company's main markets are Europe and the Americas, while Asia contributed around 4% of total sales in 2024.
74GF Score
Get the complete analysis for XSWX:AVOL
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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